Tag Archives: NRL

Shumpty’s Punt: the weekend multi 24/08/12

August 24, 2012 By in Shumpty's Punt Tags: , , , , , , Leave a comment

It is that time of the week again when minds turn to the sport one is going to be watching the weekend. With another weekend packed with sports to watch the next question that floats into the mind is what ought one bet on. I have come up with a six leg multi that I like the chances of for punters. Last week’s multi was a disaster right from the first leg so I hope this week’s version serves punters better.

I am a bit short of time this week so will dispense with the commentary around my selections and jump straight to it. Before I do though a shout out for my Rugby Championship preview on pinkrugby.com. If you want to be in the know about all things rugby it is hard to go past this excellent site.

All prices are as at the time of writing from sportsbet.com.au.

So the multi for this week is as follows:

Leg 1: Brisbane Lions to defeat the Port Adelaide Power at home in the AFL ($1.70)

Leg 2: New Zealand All Blacks to cover the line (-14.5) against the Australian Wallabies in the Rugby Championship ($1.92)

Leg 3: North Queensland Cowboys to cover the line (-8.5) against the Newcastle Knights in the NRL ($1.87)

Leg 4: Swansea to defeat West Ham United in the English Premier League ($2.10)

Leg 5: Chelsea to defeat Newcastle United in the English Premier League ($1.53)

Leg 6: South Africa Springboks to cover the line (-9.5) against the Argentina Pumas in the Rugby Championship ($1.92)

This multi will pay $37.65 for each dollar invested. As always: good luck and good punting to all!

Shumpty

Shumpty’s Punt: back after a hiatus!

August 17, 2012 By in Shumpty's Punt Tags: , , , Leave a comment

After a self-imposed break from punting following a run of ordinary results, I have decided to wade back into punting this weekend and have come up with a weekend multibet that I am particularly keen on this week.

This weekend is again replete with sports viewing for all and sundry, highlighted by the first round of the inaugural Rugby Championship in the Southern Hemisphere and the start of the English Premier League.  If you are interested, my preview of the weekend’s action in the Rugby Championship is here (http://pinkrugby.com/2012/rugby-championship-predictions-2012-rd-1).

This multibet is made up this week of five legs as follows:

Leg 1: Melbourne Storm to cover the line against the Brisbane Broncos (-4.0 points, $1.96)

The Broncos are in terrible form at the moment and despite having the home ground advantage in this Friday night football fixture I can not see them besting a Storm outfit who have awoken from their post State of Origin slumber in recent weeks.

Leg 2: New Zealand All Blacks to cover the line against the Australian Wallabies (-5.5 points, $1.92) 

As I point out in my preview, the heart says the Wallabies but the head says the All Blacks in this one.  I do not think the Wallabies have picked a team that can score enough points to best the All Blacks and with the class that they have in the back line I think the All Blacks might just run away with this one.

Leg 3: Canberra Raiders to cover the line against the Sydney Roosters (-6.5 points, $1.92)

The Raiders have been very difficult to pick in recent weeks as they have ebbed and flowed between looking like world beaters and wooden spooners.  That said in the last couple of weeks they have shown some more consistency and have found form at the right time of season.  The Roosters are out of the running and will not be looking forward to the trip down to the nations capital for this fixture.  I expect the Raiders to win this game and win it well.

Leg 4: Liverpool to beat West Bromich Albion ($1.91)

It is always tough to tip in the first week of the EPL but I just have a feeling that Liverpool will be primed for this game after their ordinary start to last year and think they are well placed to get the 3 points away at West Bromich.

Leg 5: South African Springboks to cover the line against the Argentine Pumas (-13.5 points, $1.92)

The Pumas join the Rugby Championship and will be primed for this historic first game for them at Newlands Stadium.  That will not be enough though for them to best a Springbok line up that is full of class across the field.  I expect them to outmuscle the Pumas in the forward and unleash their backline to win this game and to win it well.

This multibet will return $26.50 for each dollar invested.  Good luck and good punting to all and have a great weekend!

Shumpty

Shumpty’s Punt 27/7/12

July 27, 2012 By in Shumpty's Punt Tags: , , , , Leave a comment

Well last week was a bust and this week I have been absolutely flat out with work so I do not have time to provide much commentary on this week’s multi. Nonetheless I have think I have come up with a six legger this week that, if it gets up, will return punters $20.83 for every dollar invested.

The legs are:

1. The Crusaders to be defeat the Chiefs in the Super 15 @ $1.58

2. The Titans to cover the line against the Roosters (-2.5 points) in the NRL @ $1.87

3. Also in the NRL the Sea Eagles to defeat the NZ Warriors @ $1.48

4. In the AFL, I tip the Bombers to bounce back this week and therefore to cover the line (+33.5 points) against the Hawks @ $1.92

5. In Saturday morning’s (Aus time) MLB game from Yankee Stadium the Yankees to defeat the Red Sox @ $1.58

6. The final leg is again in the Formula 1 and I am picking Mark Webber to make the top 6 in Hungary @ $1.57

I reckon the proverbial hoof will be on the till with this one and wish you all the best of luck.

Hopefully work will roll off a bit next week and usual blogging form will resume.

Have a great weekend everyone!

Shumpty

Shumpty’s Punt: the weekend multi

July 13, 2012 By in Shumpty's Punt Tags: , , , , , , Leave a comment

Last week we were let down by the West Coast Eagles not covering the line against the Kangaroos in the AFL and having not had a payout in the last two weeks I have undertaken some extra study to see if we can’t find a winning multi for this weekend.

Once again there is a plethora of sport to get through this weekend with not only all three winter codes in action but the Tour de France, the ANZ Championship, Major League Baseball and the Goldfields Open in Snooker all worthy of attention.

The multi this week has a decidedly Super 15 focus.  This is for no other reason than Super 15 is the sport that I spend most time considering given my weekly preview of Super 15 action published every Thursday on pinkrugby.com.

We kick off the multi with the first match of the Super 15 round from Wellington.  The competition leading Chiefs visit the Hurricanes in this fixture that could see the end of the Hurricanes chances to make the finals.  The Chiefs have been the form team all season and rightly are the current favourites for the title.  The Hurricanes enter this fixture off the back of the bye and have everything to lose.  Ultimately I think the Chiefs will be too classy for the Hurricanes and will cover the line here.

Leg 1: Chiefs to cover the line against the Hurricanes (-3.5) at $1.92

The MLB All Star break has now passed and attention turns to the run to the October classic.  I know we were burned by an MLB bet two weeks again but I think there is some value to be had with the Miami Marlins taking on the Washington Nationals on Saturday morning Australian time.  The Nationals have been one of the surprise packets of the first half, going 49-34 to lead the NL East, and send Jordan Zimmerman to the mound here with a 5-6 record that is not reflective of his excellent 2.61 ERA.  Josh Johnson is pitching here for the Marlins at home and even he would be disappointed with his season so far having gone 5-5 with a 4.06 ERA after probably being seen as the Marlins’ ace at the start of the year.  This is the Marlins best chance to get a game back on their fellow NL East combatants and in front of their home crowd I expect them to squeeze over the line here.  This is the ESPN game on Saturday for those of you with nothing else to do: could be worth a look.

Leg 2: Marlins to defeat the Nationals at $1.78

The Brumbies host the Blues in the next leg of our multi at Canberra Stadium on Saturday afternoon.  The Brumbies have been the pick of the Australian teams in the competition this year and rightly lead the Australian conference.  The Blues have had a season that I have described as their annus horribilis.  I can not see them winning this game and I think the Brumbies will cover the line here.

Leg 3: Brumbies to cover the line against the Blues (-6.5) at $1.92

In NRL action, there are a number of interesting games this week and I think there is some value to be had in the Melbourne Storm’s fixture against the North Queensland Cowboys.  The Storm return their captain to a team that were soundly defeated by the Canberra Raiders last week.  The Cowboys are flying higher than they have for a while and that man J Thurston is leading them like a man possessed.  Ultimately the Storm will be smarting after being belted last week and I think they will come out and put a score on the Cowboys in this one. 

Leg 4: Storm to cover the line against the Cowboys (-6.5) at $1.94

The final Super 15 leg of the multi comes from Lang Park where the Reds host the Waratahs.  The Tahs have lost seven in a row and whilst they have been close to winning a few times they are playing like a team that has forgetten how to win.  The Reds need to win this game to remain in the running for the finals.  They must win and must win well.  That said, I have been worried about the Reds inability to score points all year and whilst I think they will win I am not sure that they will win by many and thus I am including the Reds in the multi straight out. 

Leg 5: Reds to defeat the Waratahs at $1.30

The final leg of the multi comes from Canberra Stadium where the Raiders take on the Titans.  The Raiders will be on a high after defeating the title favourite Storm last week.  The Titans are not the best travellers going around and may struggle with the cold on a chilly day in Canberra.  I think the Raiders have a look about them that is akin to their 2010 finals run and I am tipping them straight out to bring the multi home this week.

Leg 6: Raiders to defeat the Cowboys at $1.53

All up this multi will return to punters a healthy $25.32 for each dollar invested.  Good luck and good punting on the weekend. 

As always: punt responsibly.

Shumpty

Shumpty’s Punt: The Weekend Multi #3

July 6, 2012 By in Shumpty's Punt Tags: , , , , , , Leave a comment

Last week we picked up four of five legs of the multi and were let down by the Texas Rangers not covering the line against the Oakland A’s.  There is again a plethora of sport to watch, support and punt on this weekend however, despite that, I am not being greedy and am going back only a five legger this week.  All prices are from sportsbet.com.au and are current at the time of posting.

My weekend sports multi for this weekend is as follows:

Leg 1

As I have previously noted I usually loath to put a bet on the NRL.  This is principally because I am not a big follower of the game any more but for when the Canberra Raiders play.  That said, this week I am very keen on the Canterbury Bulldogs to defeat the Wests Tigers.  The Bulldogs are coming off the back of a five game winning streak and have been minimally disrupted by the State of Origin period.  The Tigers have lost their last two games whilst missing 100 tackles and they are without Robbie Farah for this one.  The Bulldogs should win and win well and I think they will cover the line.

Canterbury Bulldogs to cover the line (-6.0) against the Wests Tigers at $1.92

Leg 2

The North Melbourne Kangaroos host the West Coast Eagles at Blundstone Arena in Tasmania on Saturday afternoon in what should be a very interesting fixture.  The Eagles have lost three games this season and have lost them all away.  The Kangaroos are coming off a two match winning streak and have been playing an expansive brand of football that might trouble the Eagles.  All that said, I think this game could come down to a battle of the big men in the middle and that leans me towards the Eagles because they will be pitting their stars in Cox and Naitanui against a depleted ruck for North with Hamish McIntosh sidelined with a knee injury.  Dominance in the mid-field should convert to points for the Eagles and I think they will cover the line in this one.

West Coast Eagles to cover the line (-15.5) against the North Melbourne Kangaroos at $1.92

Leg 3

Round 17 of Super 15 Rugby presents as a vital round for the combatants seeking to make the finals.  An interesting fixture from a betting perspective is the Waratahs hosting the Brumbies at the Sydney Football Stadium on Saturday evening.  The Brumbies have been the form team of the Australian conference and have been in excellent recent form save for a 1 point loss to the Reds.  The Waratahs have been woeful this season and have not had a win in 9 weeks.  I can not believe that the line has the Brumbies only giving up 1 point.  I expect the Brumbies to win and win fairly comfortably and thus am more than happy to take the Brumbies at the line here.

Brumbies to cover the line (-1.0) against the Waratahs at $1.90

Leg 4

Round 17 of Super 15 also provides our fourth leg of the multi this week.  Bloemfontein plays host to the Cheetahs playing the Stormers in the early hours of Sunday morning Australian time.  The Stormers have been consistent all season, lead the South African conference and have the best defence in the competition.  The Cheetahs are enigmatic at best and can be woeful at worst.  I have no hesitation of declaring the Stormers the winners of this fixture but I have no clue as to how much they will win by because they just do not score enough points for me to be confident they will cover the line. 

Stormers to defeat the Cheetahs straight out at $1.38

Leg 5

The final leg of our multi this week again comes from the world of Formula 1.  This weekend is the British Grand Prix from Silverstone.  This is a race that many think the McClarens will dominate: I do not share that view.  Jenson Button has not had a car under him to do much at all in recent rounds and Lewis Hamilton is another jack failing during a pit stop away from descending into red mist territory again this season.  For some reason people do not seem to think Mark Webber is a good driver of a F1 car.  I for one think he is a great driver who does not get the plaudits he deserves.  In six of eight rounds this season he has placed fourth or better and he is the second placed driver in the championship.  Whilst I am unsure of his chances of winning here I reckon he is a lock for the top six and have him doing just that as the anchor of the multi this week.

Mark Webber to place in the top six in the Great Britain Grand Prix at $1.80

All up the multi this week will return $17.40 to punters.  As usual, only bet what you can afford and if you can not afford it is simple: don’t bet.

Have a great weekend.

Yours in sport,

Shumpty

Shumpty’s Punt: 27 April 2012

April 27, 2012 By in Shumpty's Punt Tags: , , , , , , Leave a comment

Happy Friday everyone!!! Given that it is Friday this means that before us we have 2 and a half days (if you include Friday night) of wall to wall sport to watch, analyse, tweet about and, for those minded, have a wager on. 6 games of Super 15 Rugby, 5 games of NRL, 8 games of AFL, the cricket from the West Indies, MLB and NHL from the US, ANZ Championship Netball, the EPL from the UK and horseracing from all major centres including Black Caviar going around.  If you can’t find something to watch and a winner out of that lot you are not trying hard enough.

For the sporting bet fans, my best bets for the weekend are:

  • In the AFL, I like Freemantle to beat the Blues with a margin of 1-39 points (pays $2.85).  Ross Lyon has the Dockers playing a grinding defensive brand of football that I expect to stifle the Blues midfield and let’s be honest, if the Blues midfield is not firing they usually struggle.
  • I have not really followed much of the NRL this year, aside from watching the mighty Raiders play, so I am steering clear of any bets on the NRL this week.
  • The Super 15 presents a number of close games and a number of mismatches.  I like the Stormers to put a score on the hapless Force and think the Stormers by 13 points or more is a good bet ($2.75).  Also, I can not believe that the Reds have been posted as $3 outsiders for tonights fixture against the Blues.  Some of my hard earned will be going on the Reds as well!
  • It wouldn’t be a weekend of sport’s betting without having a little wager on something in the EPL.  I think the Swansea v Wolves game presents some easy money and will be taking the $2.30 on offer for the Swansea half time / full time double.

On Saturday, most eyes will be on Black Caviar at Morphettville but I think there is some good value in a few races around the country that some attention should also be given to as follows:

  • Many seem to think the Sydney Cup (SR6) is a race in two between Niwot and Permit but I am steering clear of both in this one and will be going with Older than Time (#9).  Gai Waterhouse is on a roll again this Sydney Carnival and I think this race is made for this horse.  She will be near the front and will be tough for the main chances to run down particularly if the sting is out of the track.
  • In the Queen Elizabeth Stakes that immediately follows (SR7) I am again steering clear of the favourite, More Joyous.  I concerned about whether she will run the trip and that has me leaning towards Manighar.  Americian is also in this race but, converse to the More Joyous concerns, I do not think this race is long enough for him.  Manighar, with Oliver in the saddle out of the Moody yard, will be primed in this one and has been in brilliant form this preparation.

I have avoided Brisbane at this point because the variable weather at the moment looks like giving us a heavy to slow track and I would rather not nail my colours to the mast on that meeting just yet.

Hope you all have a great weekend whatever it is your doing.  I, as you have probably already gleaned, will be in front of the TV watching sport, glorious sport, for much of it.

Good luck and good punting.

Shumpty