As many of you are aware during the rugby union season I write for the fantastic pinkrugby.com.
This year is no different and here is my preview of this year’s Super 15 season: http://pinkrugby.com/2013/2013-super-rugby-preview
Feedback always welcome!
Well last week was a bust and this week I have been absolutely flat out with work so I do not have time to provide much commentary on this week’s multi. Nonetheless I have think I have come up with a six legger this week that, if it gets up, will return punters $20.83 for every dollar invested.
The legs are:
1. The Crusaders to be defeat the Chiefs in the Super 15 @ $1.58
2. The Titans to cover the line against the Roosters (-2.5 points) in the NRL @ $1.87
3. Also in the NRL the Sea Eagles to defeat the NZ Warriors @ $1.48
4. In the AFL, I tip the Bombers to bounce back this week and therefore to cover the line (+33.5 points) against the Hawks @ $1.92
5. In Saturday morning’s (Aus time) MLB game from Yankee Stadium the Yankees to defeat the Red Sox @ $1.58
6. The final leg is again in the Formula 1 and I am picking Mark Webber to make the top 6 in Hungary @ $1.57
I reckon the proverbial hoof will be on the till with this one and wish you all the best of luck.
Hopefully work will roll off a bit next week and usual blogging form will resume.
Have a great weekend everyone!
Shumpty
Check out my preview of Round 18 of the Super 15 here …. http://pinkrugby.com/2012/super-rugby-predictions-2012-rd-18
Is a massive round of Rugby and I for one can not wait!
Shumpty
Last week we were let down by the West Coast Eagles not covering the line against the Kangaroos in the AFL and having not had a payout in the last two weeks I have undertaken some extra study to see if we can’t find a winning multi for this weekend.
Once again there is a plethora of sport to get through this weekend with not only all three winter codes in action but the Tour de France, the ANZ Championship, Major League Baseball and the Goldfields Open in Snooker all worthy of attention.
The multi this week has a decidedly Super 15 focus. This is for no other reason than Super 15 is the sport that I spend most time considering given my weekly preview of Super 15 action published every Thursday on pinkrugby.com.
We kick off the multi with the first match of the Super 15 round from Wellington. The competition leading Chiefs visit the Hurricanes in this fixture that could see the end of the Hurricanes chances to make the finals. The Chiefs have been the form team all season and rightly are the current favourites for the title. The Hurricanes enter this fixture off the back of the bye and have everything to lose. Ultimately I think the Chiefs will be too classy for the Hurricanes and will cover the line here.
Leg 1: Chiefs to cover the line against the Hurricanes (-3.5) at $1.92
The MLB All Star break has now passed and attention turns to the run to the October classic. I know we were burned by an MLB bet two weeks again but I think there is some value to be had with the Miami Marlins taking on the Washington Nationals on Saturday morning Australian time. The Nationals have been one of the surprise packets of the first half, going 49-34 to lead the NL East, and send Jordan Zimmerman to the mound here with a 5-6 record that is not reflective of his excellent 2.61 ERA. Josh Johnson is pitching here for the Marlins at home and even he would be disappointed with his season so far having gone 5-5 with a 4.06 ERA after probably being seen as the Marlins’ ace at the start of the year. This is the Marlins best chance to get a game back on their fellow NL East combatants and in front of their home crowd I expect them to squeeze over the line here. This is the ESPN game on Saturday for those of you with nothing else to do: could be worth a look.
Leg 2: Marlins to defeat the Nationals at $1.78
The Brumbies host the Blues in the next leg of our multi at Canberra Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Brumbies have been the pick of the Australian teams in the competition this year and rightly lead the Australian conference. The Blues have had a season that I have described as their annus horribilis. I can not see them winning this game and I think the Brumbies will cover the line here.
Leg 3: Brumbies to cover the line against the Blues (-6.5) at $1.92
In NRL action, there are a number of interesting games this week and I think there is some value to be had in the Melbourne Storm’s fixture against the North Queensland Cowboys. The Storm return their captain to a team that were soundly defeated by the Canberra Raiders last week. The Cowboys are flying higher than they have for a while and that man J Thurston is leading them like a man possessed. Ultimately the Storm will be smarting after being belted last week and I think they will come out and put a score on the Cowboys in this one.
Leg 4: Storm to cover the line against the Cowboys (-6.5) at $1.94
The final Super 15 leg of the multi comes from Lang Park where the Reds host the Waratahs. The Tahs have lost seven in a row and whilst they have been close to winning a few times they are playing like a team that has forgetten how to win. The Reds need to win this game to remain in the running for the finals. They must win and must win well. That said, I have been worried about the Reds inability to score points all year and whilst I think they will win I am not sure that they will win by many and thus I am including the Reds in the multi straight out.
Leg 5: Reds to defeat the Waratahs at $1.30
The final leg of the multi comes from Canberra Stadium where the Raiders take on the Titans. The Raiders will be on a high after defeating the title favourite Storm last week. The Titans are not the best travellers going around and may struggle with the cold on a chilly day in Canberra. I think the Raiders have a look about them that is akin to their 2010 finals run and I am tipping them straight out to bring the multi home this week.
Leg 6: Raiders to defeat the Cowboys at $1.53
All up this multi will return to punters a healthy $25.32 for each dollar invested. Good luck and good punting on the weekend.
As always: punt responsibly.
Shumpty
Last week we picked up four of five legs of the multi and were let down by the Texas Rangers not covering the line against the Oakland A’s. There is again a plethora of sport to watch, support and punt on this weekend however, despite that, I am not being greedy and am going back only a five legger this week. All prices are from sportsbet.com.au and are current at the time of posting.
My weekend sports multi for this weekend is as follows:
Leg 1
As I have previously noted I usually loath to put a bet on the NRL. This is principally because I am not a big follower of the game any more but for when the Canberra Raiders play. That said, this week I am very keen on the Canterbury Bulldogs to defeat the Wests Tigers. The Bulldogs are coming off the back of a five game winning streak and have been minimally disrupted by the State of Origin period. The Tigers have lost their last two games whilst missing 100 tackles and they are without Robbie Farah for this one. The Bulldogs should win and win well and I think they will cover the line.
Canterbury Bulldogs to cover the line (-6.0) against the Wests Tigers at $1.92
Leg 2
The North Melbourne Kangaroos host the West Coast Eagles at Blundstone Arena in Tasmania on Saturday afternoon in what should be a very interesting fixture. The Eagles have lost three games this season and have lost them all away. The Kangaroos are coming off a two match winning streak and have been playing an expansive brand of football that might trouble the Eagles. All that said, I think this game could come down to a battle of the big men in the middle and that leans me towards the Eagles because they will be pitting their stars in Cox and Naitanui against a depleted ruck for North with Hamish McIntosh sidelined with a knee injury. Dominance in the mid-field should convert to points for the Eagles and I think they will cover the line in this one.
West Coast Eagles to cover the line (-15.5) against the North Melbourne Kangaroos at $1.92
Leg 3
Round 17 of Super 15 Rugby presents as a vital round for the combatants seeking to make the finals. An interesting fixture from a betting perspective is the Waratahs hosting the Brumbies at the Sydney Football Stadium on Saturday evening. The Brumbies have been the form team of the Australian conference and have been in excellent recent form save for a 1 point loss to the Reds. The Waratahs have been woeful this season and have not had a win in 9 weeks. I can not believe that the line has the Brumbies only giving up 1 point. I expect the Brumbies to win and win fairly comfortably and thus am more than happy to take the Brumbies at the line here.
Brumbies to cover the line (-1.0) against the Waratahs at $1.90
Leg 4
Round 17 of Super 15 also provides our fourth leg of the multi this week. Bloemfontein plays host to the Cheetahs playing the Stormers in the early hours of Sunday morning Australian time. The Stormers have been consistent all season, lead the South African conference and have the best defence in the competition. The Cheetahs are enigmatic at best and can be woeful at worst. I have no hesitation of declaring the Stormers the winners of this fixture but I have no clue as to how much they will win by because they just do not score enough points for me to be confident they will cover the line.
Stormers to defeat the Cheetahs straight out at $1.38
Leg 5
The final leg of our multi this week again comes from the world of Formula 1. This weekend is the British Grand Prix from Silverstone. This is a race that many think the McClarens will dominate: I do not share that view. Jenson Button has not had a car under him to do much at all in recent rounds and Lewis Hamilton is another jack failing during a pit stop away from descending into red mist territory again this season. For some reason people do not seem to think Mark Webber is a good driver of a F1 car. I for one think he is a great driver who does not get the plaudits he deserves. In six of eight rounds this season he has placed fourth or better and he is the second placed driver in the championship. Whilst I am unsure of his chances of winning here I reckon he is a lock for the top six and have him doing just that as the anchor of the multi this week.
Mark Webber to place in the top six in the Great Britain Grand Prix at $1.80
All up the multi this week will return $17.40 to punters. As usual, only bet what you can afford and if you can not afford it is simple: don’t bet.
Have a great weekend.
Yours in sport,
Shumpty
Here is this week’s preview of Super Rugby action published on the excellent pinkrugby.com.
http://pinkrugby.com/2012/super-rugby-recap-and-preview-rd-17
Shumpty Speaks 