Cox Plate Day: Best Bets

One of the best day of the racing calendar is Cox Plate Day and there is a plethora good value runners out there today.  Here are my best bets:

Cox Plate (Mooney Valley, Race 8):

Best Bet: Criterion, Number 8

2nd Best Bet: The Cleaner, Number 6 (The Cleaner has become the “people’s champion” and expect its odds to shorten over the day)

Mooney Valley (the other races):

Best Bet: Rocky King, Race 2, Number 1

Next Best Bet: Opinion, Race 5, Number 7

Rosehill:

Best Bet: Grand Marshall, Race 3, Number 6

Doomben

Best Bet: Love Rocks, Race 4, Number 1

As always:

  1. Please gamble responsibly.
  2. Whilst all care is taken with these tips no responsibility vests for losses incurred.

Shumpty’s Punt: Saturday Specials

I have not had a bet on a Saturday for a couple of weeks: I just have not seen anything going around that really inspired confidence.  This Saturday though I have a couple of tips that I am feel more than a bit confident about.

Flemington:

Race 6 Number 2 Criterion (each way)

Race 7 Number 1 Shamexpress (each way)

Rosehill:

Race 5 Number 3 Dissident

Race 6 Number 6 White Sage

Doomben:

Race 6 Number 2 Mishani Warrior

As always: good luck and good punting!

Shumpty’s Punt: Wednesday Wager

It has been a little while since I posted my best bet for the day: I have been away for a couple of days and decided to take a break from the blog.  Back in action today though with a couple of tips at the races and also a late sports bet tip.

Horse Racing:

Randwick

Race 6 Number 10 Jacinta

Eagle Farm

Race 4 Number 11 Pie Lady (Each Way)

Sports: 

NBA

Portland Trailblazers to cover the line (-5.0 points) against the Sacramento Kings.

As always: good luck and good punting.

Shumpty’s Punt: the Thursday Tip

Racing in Queensland today is from the Gold Coast. A couple here worth having a look at:

Race 3: Reassemble (Number 6) (each way)
Race 6: Eastern Prince (Number 2) (each way)

Sporting punters out there, if you are looking for a wager today I think the best value today is in the ALCS and with the Detroit Tigers. I expect them to cover the line of -1.5 runs in this game and will have a little bet on them at $2.75.

As always, please gamble responsibly.

Shumpty’s Punt: it’s back!

Well I am sure some of you will say “I told you so” and I concede that I threw the toys out of the cot last year when I stated that I would not be publishing a tipping blog again after a run of terrible form. A new year means a new start and after a couple of nights of study I think I have come up with a couple of bets on the weekend as well as a sports multi-bet that I am confident about.

Racing:

It is Magic Millions Day on the Gold Coast on Saturday and whilst I will not be down there I will have an interest in a couple of races:

Race 5:

Really like the Waterhouse horse Driefontein in this. Not sure the other fancies have much chance from the gates they have drawn and Driefontein has the plum gate of number 3. I expect Tommy Berry to salute here.

Race 6:

In the 2 year old classic no matter how much I look at this race I keep coming back to the mount of L Birchley: Missy Longstocking. Four starts for four wins is the best form you can get and from the 5 gate will get a plumb ride. The money has been for it on Sportsbet.com.au having shortened from $7.50 into $6.50 in early betting.

Race 7:

The Magic Millions Cup is a much tougher race for mine than the 2 year old classic. In this one I have always looked for form at the track as a guide more so than in the 2 year old classic. Combining good form at the track and a good gate is the Hawkes horse Stratford. I think it will win and at $6.50 at the moment is pretty good value.

Race 8:

A shorty in the last for the “get out stakes” I’m Cool. Just can not see anything beating it in this field but if you like this horse I would lock in the $2.60 about it you can get on sports bet right now as I expect it will shorten on the day.

Sports multi-bet

I have a four leg multi for the weekend that I reckon is right on the money and will reap a good return for punters without being spectular.

Leg 1: This evening kicking off at 4pm Brisbane time India at home to defeat England in their ODI fixture at $1.67.

Leg 2: On Saturday morning, in the NBA the Atlanta Hawks to cover the line (-4.0 points) against the Utah Jazz at home at $1.92.

Leg 3: On Sunday morning, in the NFL finals the San Francisco 49ers to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the Green Bay Packers at home at $2.05.

Leg 4: On Monday morning, also in the NFL finals the Atlanta Falcons to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the Seattle Seahawks at home at $2.02.

All up this multi will return $13.28 if it gets up.

Good luck and good punting to all.