Shumpty’s Punt: Friday Fancy

No multi’s this week as I have been on the Great Ocean Road for a break. That said, it would not be a Friday without a sporting multi and here is 4 leg multi I feel quite confident about:

Leg 1: Boston Bruins to cover the line (-1.5 goals) against the Columbus Blue Jackets in the NHL.

Leg 2: Chicago Blackhawks to cover the line (-1.5 goals) against the Phoenix Coyotes in the NHL.

Leg 3: Indianapolis Colts to cover the line (-2.5 points) against the Tennessee Titans in the NFL.

Leg 4: Golden State Warriors to cover the line (-4.5 points) against the Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA.

The payout on this multi will be $24.66 for each dollar spent.

As always: good luck and good punting!

Shumpty’s Punt: Friday Fancy

It is another day and another opportunity to have a crack at an American sports multi.  Here is the multi I fancy today:

Leg 1: Miami Heat to defeat the LA Clippers in the NBA

Leg 2: Boston Bruins to defeat the Florida Panters in the NHL

Leg 3: Baylor to cover the line (-16.5 points) against Oklahoma in NCAA Football

Leg 4: Washington Capitols to defeat the Minnesota Wild in the NHL

Leg 5: Detriot Red Wings to defeat the Dallas Star in the NHL

Leg 6: Washington Redskins to cover the line (-1.0 points) against the Minnesota Vikings in the NFL

Leg 7: Denver Nuggets to defeat the Atlanta Hawks in the NBA

All up this multi will pay just a touch over $36 for every dollar invested.  As always: please gamble responsibly.

Shumpty’s Punt: Sunday Specials

It is the Indian Formula One Grand Prix tonight. I have a couple of wagers on the race as well as a multi that includes it and some of the early NFL games.

As always: good luck and good punting:

Indian Formula One:

First Retirement: Romain Grosjean ($15.00)

Fastest Lap: Sebastian Vettel ($2.25)

Will there be a safety car? Yes ($2.60)

Multi-bet:

Leg 1: In the Indian Formula One Grand Prix the number of classified drivers to be less than 18.5 drivers. ($2.35)

Leg 2: Total game score in the Sunderland v Newcastle EPL game to be great than 2.5 goals. ($1.73)

Leg 3: Detroit Lions to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the Denver Broncos in the NFL ($1.95)

Leg 4: Kansas City Chiefs to defeat the Cleveland Browns in the NFL ($1.30)

This multi will pay $10.31 for each dollar invested.

Have a great Sunday night!

Sport and Star Wars: a search for meaning

I posted this morning a quote from Star Wars having spent my night last night watching the Star Wars trilogy (sidebar here: I do not believe there are any Star Wars movies other than the original trilogy worth my watching and thus I have never watched the other movies in the franchise BUT I digress). That quote is from The Empire Strikes Back and Yoda and was:

“If no mistake have you made, yet losing you are … a different game you should play.”

I have reflected on that quote a bit this morning since posting and, indeed, have reflected on the rest of my long weekend, aside from the Star Wars festival. It has been a weekend, for me, of sport and social media with a bit of yard work and writing thrown in for good measure.

My reflections have lead me to the view that there is much to be said for the application of Yoda’s quote across more than the Star Wars universe and the life of Luke Skywalker. Well much to be said, with an amendment.

This weekend we have seen: the Wallabies remove the shackles of doubt with a barnstorming performance in Rosario against Argentina, the International loose for the fifth successive time to the United States in the Presidents, the Pittsburgh Pirates leading in the NCLS against the St Louis Cardinals and the Kansas City Chiefs move to a 5-0 record after a season worst 2-14 season in 2013 (among other sporting results).

Now in each context it is impossible to say that none of these teams and their respective staffs have been free of mistakes. However, what it is possible to say, is that, in each context, the particular team in question has either thrived upon making a change or have continued to flounder because of the failure to do so.

The story of the Kansas City Chiefs this season is particularly instructive. Before the season started the team changed its head coach, its general manager and its quarterback. That aside it made limited changes to its line up. A change in attitude and a change in style of play has been made by the coach and quarterback and, with essentially everything else the same as last year, the team has thrived. Indeed, they are now playing the game at a different level.

The story of the Pittsburgh Pirates from the MLB is the similarly as instructive (an nothing short of inspiring). After 21 seasons out of the post season (the worst record in all of the sports combined in the US) and a similar span of losing seasons until last season, behind a new manager in Clint Hurdle and off the back of some great roster moves they are the story of Major League Baseball this season. Their fans have returned to their games and they are now one game around to the second phase of the MLB finals. Again: they have made some changes in management and staff but a largely the same team that 3 years ago had, almost, the worst record in the National League.

All of this leads me to a surprising point: I think Yoda is wrong. Sorry: scratch that … I think the message that Yoda has in the quote above is spot on so long as the ideology of not making mistakes is removed. To me, to play a game and, for that matter, to live life without mistake is not possible. Indeed the biggest mistake I would think one could make would be to consider oneself to be wholly without error.

That being the case, I think the quote is better phrased thusly:

“If losing you are … a different game you should play”

The Chiefs and the Pirates were losing, indeed they were losing badly, so they took steps to play the game differently by making staff changes and the results are there for all to see.

So where does that lead us? It is all well and good for me to spruik sporting examples to back a theory but is said theory equally as applicable in life? That has been a large part of my ponderance today. I know in my own life I have been crippled at time by the fear of failure and change where change presented itself. It is trite to say (but also a truism) that my life would be different now if I had have made changes earlier in my life when I was living a life riddled with mistakes.

Life is fundamentally about learning from ones mistakes. It strikes me that the biggest mistake one can make is not making changes when one is, metaphorically, losing. That failure to act though comes mostly from fear of change doesn’t it? Therein lies the conundrum of making changes.

I wish I had have made changes in my life earlier but did not out of fear. I hope I have learned from that mistake so that the next time I am, metaphorically, losing in the game of life I can recognise that I need to play a different game to succeed. The question I have is: will you?

Shumpty’s Punt: the weekend multi

It is the weekend and there is plenty of sport to watch. There is also plenty of folding money to be won. Here is my multi for this weekend that I am feeling very confident about.

Leg 1: St Louis Cardinals to cover the line (-1.5 runs) in the NLDS Game 2 against the Pittsburgh Pirates ($2.64)

Leg 2: Boston Red Sox to cover the line (-1.5 runs) in the ALDS Game 1 against the Tampa Bay Rays ($2.55)

Leg 3: Columbus Blue Jackets to cover the line (-1.5 goals) in the NHL against the Calgary Flames ($2.43)

Leg 4: Seattle Seahawks to cover the line (-2.5 points) in the NFL against the Indianapolis Colts ($1.95)

This multi should pay punters $31.89 (at the time of writing on sportsbet.com.au). Good luck and good punting.

Shumpty’s Punt: Sunday Specials

After a break even day yesterday on the punt and the Melbourne Storm’s loss killing the weekend multi I have had a look at the upcoming sport have and some Sunday wagers that I think will bring a solid return.

Formula 1:

After picking up the “First Driver to Retire” “winner” at Monza, there is some value to be found in the running of Singapore Grand Prix which starts at 10pm tonight for those on the Australian Eastern Seaboard.

First Driver to Retire Estaban Guiterrez ($16.00)
Points Finish: Sergio Perez ($2.30)
Podium Finish: Lewis Hamilton ($2.63)
Hatrick of Fastest Qualifier, Win and Fastest Lap: Sebastian Vettel ($3.50)

NFL Multi Bet:

Leg 1: Dallas Cowboys to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the St Louis Rams
Leg 2: Detroit Lions to cover the line (-1.0 points) against the Washington Redskins
Leg 3: Houston Texans to cover the line (-1.0 points) against the Baltimore Ravens
Leg 4: Miami Dolphins to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the Atlanta Falcons

This multi should pay 13.37 for every dollar invested.

As always:

1. All care is taken with these tips but I bear no responsibility for any losses arising for relying on same.
2. Please always gamble responsibly.