Shumpty’s Punt: Sunday Specials

It is the Indian Formula One Grand Prix tonight. I have a couple of wagers on the race as well as a multi that includes it and some of the early NFL games.

As always: good luck and good punting:

Indian Formula One:

First Retirement: Romain Grosjean ($15.00)

Fastest Lap: Sebastian Vettel ($2.25)

Will there be a safety car? Yes ($2.60)

Multi-bet:

Leg 1: In the Indian Formula One Grand Prix the number of classified drivers to be less than 18.5 drivers. ($2.35)

Leg 2: Total game score in the Sunderland v Newcastle EPL game to be great than 2.5 goals. ($1.73)

Leg 3: Detroit Lions to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the Denver Broncos in the NFL ($1.95)

Leg 4: Kansas City Chiefs to defeat the Cleveland Browns in the NFL ($1.30)

This multi will pay $10.31 for each dollar invested.

Have a great Sunday night!

Shumpty’s Punt: Sunday Specials

After a break even day yesterday on the punt and the Melbourne Storm’s loss killing the weekend multi I have had a look at the upcoming sport have and some Sunday wagers that I think will bring a solid return.

Formula 1:

After picking up the “First Driver to Retire” “winner” at Monza, there is some value to be found in the running of Singapore Grand Prix which starts at 10pm tonight for those on the Australian Eastern Seaboard.

First Driver to Retire Estaban Guiterrez ($16.00)
Points Finish: Sergio Perez ($2.30)
Podium Finish: Lewis Hamilton ($2.63)
Hatrick of Fastest Qualifier, Win and Fastest Lap: Sebastian Vettel ($3.50)

NFL Multi Bet:

Leg 1: Dallas Cowboys to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the St Louis Rams
Leg 2: Detroit Lions to cover the line (-1.0 points) against the Washington Redskins
Leg 3: Houston Texans to cover the line (-1.0 points) against the Baltimore Ravens
Leg 4: Miami Dolphins to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the Atlanta Falcons

This multi should pay 13.37 for every dollar invested.

As always:

1. All care is taken with these tips but I bear no responsibility for any losses arising for relying on same.
2. Please always gamble responsibly.

Shumpty’s Punt: the weekly multi

Well last week was a bit of a disaster for multi followers: we just couldn’t catch a break with some of the upsets that arose. Following the mantra that when you fail the best thing to do is to try again and this week I am again tipping a five leg multi that I expect will lead to a good payout for followers.

It is a massive weekend in sport again and the multi starts tonight with the blockbuster at Etihad Stadium between the Geelong Cats and the Essendon Bombers. The Cats come into this fixture after being belted last week by Collingwood and their key forward is struggling with the kicking yips at the moment. They are also missing Jimmy Bartel through suspension. The Bombers have been one of the form teams in the competition so far and seem to have had the tactical measure of the Cats in recent seasons that lead to a four point victory in the corresponding game last season. To me the Bombers are a young team on the rise while the Cats are coming to the end of a period of dominance (if they lose this game this will represent the first time they have lost 6 games in a season since 2006). I am tipping the Bombers to win this one in the close one and cover the very short line of -3.5 points.

Leg 1: Bombers to cover the line (-3.5 points) against Geelong at $1.92

Our second leg comes from across the Tasman on Saturday afternoon where the New Zealand Warriors host the Newcastle Knights. The Warriors close loss last week to the Broncos saw them drop out of the top 8. They won all of the key statistical categories in that game however so they ought take some confidence out of that. Konrad Hurrell returns to the Warriors lineup for this fixture. The Knights have been in moderately poor form this year but have won three of the past four days and welcome back Neville Costigan this week. One of the highlights of this match will be the battle of the wingers in Manu Vatuvei and Akuila Uate and, frankly, the team with the winger that makes the least mistakes may will win this game. The Warriors have made Mt Smart Stadium a fortress in recent times winning ten of their last twelve fixtures and I think this will be a difficult one of the Knights to win despite their recent excellent form. That being the case I am tipping the Warrior to win this game and cover the line.

Leg 2: Warriors to cover the line (-10.0 points) against the Knights at $1.90

The third leg of this weekend’s multi comes from the South Island of New Zealand and more particularly the city of Christchurch where the Crusaders host the Bulls in the first of two Super 15 Qualifying Finals. In my preview of the weekend’s Super 15 action on the excellent pinkrugby.com I tipped the Crusaders to win by 11 and I am sticking to this tip for the multi. That means that I expect the Crusaders to cover the line of -9.5 here.

Leg 3: Crusaders to cover the line (-9.5 points) against the Bulls at $1.92

Super 15 rugby is also the focus of the 4th leg of the multi. We return back to the other side of the ditch for the second qualifying final at Lang Park between the Reds and the Sharks. Again, I refer follows to my preview of this fixture at pinkrugby.com where I tipped the Reds to win by 9 points and I am sticking to this tip in the multi. The line here is -5.5 points and I think the Reds will cover this here.

Leg 4: Reds to cover the line (-5.5 points) against the Sharks at $1.92

The anchor leg of this week’s multi again comes from the world of Formula 1. This weekend Formula 1 action comes from Germany and I think the best bet in the race is to pick the form driver in the championship, Fernando Alonso, to finish on the podium. Alonso is at the top of the championship and appears to have the car under him to go all the way this season. He is also keeping his car on the track more than in recent seasons and expect with his speed for him to be up the front at the end of this one. I am not sure though that he will defeat one or both of the Red Bulls and thus am only prepared to tip him for the podium here.

Leg 5: Fernando Alonso to finish in the top 3 in the German F1 Grand Prix at $1.72

This multi will return a healthy $23.13 per dollar invested for punters. Good luck and good punting for the weekend.

Shumpty