Shumpty’s Punt: Thursday Multi

It is the first game of the World Series in the MLB at Fenway Park today. Here is my multi for today’s sporting fixtures:

Leg 1: Detroit Redwings to defeat the Ottawa Senators in the NHL ($1.70)

Leg 2: In the first game of the World Series in the MLB the Boston Red Sox to win with the total game score less than 7.5 runs ($3.30)

Leg 3: Boston Bruins to cover the line (-1.5 goals) against the Buffalo Sabres in the NHL ($2.90)

This multi will pay $16.27 for every dollar invested.

As always, please gamble responsibly.

Sport and Star Wars: a search for meaning

I posted this morning a quote from Star Wars having spent my night last night watching the Star Wars trilogy (sidebar here: I do not believe there are any Star Wars movies other than the original trilogy worth my watching and thus I have never watched the other movies in the franchise BUT I digress). That quote is from The Empire Strikes Back and Yoda and was:

“If no mistake have you made, yet losing you are … a different game you should play.”

I have reflected on that quote a bit this morning since posting and, indeed, have reflected on the rest of my long weekend, aside from the Star Wars festival. It has been a weekend, for me, of sport and social media with a bit of yard work and writing thrown in for good measure.

My reflections have lead me to the view that there is much to be said for the application of Yoda’s quote across more than the Star Wars universe and the life of Luke Skywalker. Well much to be said, with an amendment.

This weekend we have seen: the Wallabies remove the shackles of doubt with a barnstorming performance in Rosario against Argentina, the International loose for the fifth successive time to the United States in the Presidents, the Pittsburgh Pirates leading in the NCLS against the St Louis Cardinals and the Kansas City Chiefs move to a 5-0 record after a season worst 2-14 season in 2013 (among other sporting results).

Now in each context it is impossible to say that none of these teams and their respective staffs have been free of mistakes. However, what it is possible to say, is that, in each context, the particular team in question has either thrived upon making a change or have continued to flounder because of the failure to do so.

The story of the Kansas City Chiefs this season is particularly instructive. Before the season started the team changed its head coach, its general manager and its quarterback. That aside it made limited changes to its line up. A change in attitude and a change in style of play has been made by the coach and quarterback and, with essentially everything else the same as last year, the team has thrived. Indeed, they are now playing the game at a different level.

The story of the Pittsburgh Pirates from the MLB is the similarly as instructive (an nothing short of inspiring). After 21 seasons out of the post season (the worst record in all of the sports combined in the US) and a similar span of losing seasons until last season, behind a new manager in Clint Hurdle and off the back of some great roster moves they are the story of Major League Baseball this season. Their fans have returned to their games and they are now one game around to the second phase of the MLB finals. Again: they have made some changes in management and staff but a largely the same team that 3 years ago had, almost, the worst record in the National League.

All of this leads me to a surprising point: I think Yoda is wrong. Sorry: scratch that … I think the message that Yoda has in the quote above is spot on so long as the ideology of not making mistakes is removed. To me, to play a game and, for that matter, to live life without mistake is not possible. Indeed the biggest mistake I would think one could make would be to consider oneself to be wholly without error.

That being the case, I think the quote is better phrased thusly:

“If losing you are … a different game you should play”

The Chiefs and the Pirates were losing, indeed they were losing badly, so they took steps to play the game differently by making staff changes and the results are there for all to see.

So where does that lead us? It is all well and good for me to spruik sporting examples to back a theory but is said theory equally as applicable in life? That has been a large part of my ponderance today. I know in my own life I have been crippled at time by the fear of failure and change where change presented itself. It is trite to say (but also a truism) that my life would be different now if I had have made changes earlier in my life when I was living a life riddled with mistakes.

Life is fundamentally about learning from ones mistakes. It strikes me that the biggest mistake one can make is not making changes when one is, metaphorically, losing. That failure to act though comes mostly from fear of change doesn’t it? Therein lies the conundrum of making changes.

I wish I had have made changes in my life earlier but did not out of fear. I hope I have learned from that mistake so that the next time I am, metaphorically, losing in the game of life I can recognise that I need to play a different game to succeed. The question I have is: will you?

Shumpty’s Punt: the weekend multi

It is the weekend and there is plenty of sport to watch. There is also plenty of folding money to be won. Here is my multi for this weekend that I am feeling very confident about.

Leg 1: St Louis Cardinals to cover the line (-1.5 runs) in the NLDS Game 2 against the Pittsburgh Pirates ($2.64)

Leg 2: Boston Red Sox to cover the line (-1.5 runs) in the ALDS Game 1 against the Tampa Bay Rays ($2.55)

Leg 3: Columbus Blue Jackets to cover the line (-1.5 goals) in the NHL against the Calgary Flames ($2.43)

Leg 4: Seattle Seahawks to cover the line (-2.5 points) in the NFL against the Indianapolis Colts ($1.95)

This multi should pay punters $31.89 (at the time of writing on sportsbet.com.au). Good luck and good punting.

Shumpty’s Punt: The Weekend Multi

Don’t really fancy anything going around at the races this weekend enough to tip anything. That said, here is a 5 leg multi that I am very keen on:

Leg 1: South Sydney Rabbitohs to cover the line (-6.0 points) against the Sydney Roosters in the NRL ($1.92)

Leg 2: Baltimore Orioles to cover the line (-1.5 runs) against the Chicago White Sox in the MLB

Leg 3: New Zealand to cover the line (-26.5 points) in the Rugby Championship against Argentina ($1.92)

Leg 4: Total points scored in the Australia v South Africa Rugby Championship test match to be less than 44.5 points ($1.87)

Leg 5: Pittsburgh Steelers to cover the line (-7.5 points) against the Tennessee Titans in the NFL ($1.92)

This multi will pay $29.64 (on Sportsbet) for every dollar invested.

Good luck and good punting all!

Shumpty’s Punt: Weekend Multi and Saturday Specials

Another massive weekend of sport beckons and I have a five leg multi that I am particularly keen on as well as three bets at Eagle Farm that I think will bring a return for punters.

Sports Multi

Leg 1: Wellington to cover the line (-8.5 points) against Taranaki in the ITM Cup ($1.90)

Leg 2: Waikato to cover the line (-7.5 points) against Otago in the ITM Cup ($1.90)

Leg 3: Detroit Tigers to cover the line (-1.5 runs) against the New York Mets in the MLB ($2.01)

Leg 4: Pittsburgh Pirates to defeat the San Fransisco Giants in the MLB ($2.24)

Leg 5: South Africa to cover the line (-13.5 points) against Argentina in the Rugby Championship

This bet will pay $31.20 for each dollar invested. Please note that you have to get this one on by 4pm this (Friday) afternoon.

Horse Racing

All of my best this weekend are at Eagle Farm on Saturday and are as follows:

Race 2: Number 4 Bribie (each way) ($6.00/$2.00)

Race 4: Number 3 Awesome Ransom (win) ($4.00)

Race 7: Number 2 Funtantes (each way) ($9.00/$2.80)

As always, please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.

Shumpty’s Punt: Best bets this weekend

It is another weekend and there is again a truck load of sport on the TV to watch. Here are my best bets this weekend:

Horse Racing:

Doomben

Race 3 Number 1: Double Impact (win) ($3.10)
Race 8 Number 1: Bribie (e/w) ($15.00/$4.40)

Rosehill

Race 7 Number 4: Sacred Flyer ($2.80)

Sports Multi

Leg 1: Baltimore Orioles to cover the line (-1.5 runs) against the Seattle Mariners in MLB ($2.19)

Leg 2: Detriot Tigers to cover the line (-1.5 runs) against the Chicago White Sox in MLB ($1.88)

Leg 3: The Chiefs to defeat the Brumbies with the margin 1-12 in the Super Rugby Grand Final ($2.37)

Leg 4: Gold Coast Titans to cover the line (-4.0 points) against the Wests Tigers in the NRL ($1.92)

This multi will pay $18.73 for each dollar invested.

As always, please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.

All prices are courtesy of sportsbet.com.au and are correct at the time of writing.