The Weekend Wager: Sport’s Multi

This is a brilliant time of year for sport and this weekend I am feeling particularly confident about this multi:

Leg 1: Geelong Cats to defeat North Melbourne Kangaroos by less than 40 points in the AFL.

Leg 2: New Zealand to cover the line (-8.5 points) against South Africa in the Rugby Championship. 

Leg 3: North Queensland Cowboys to cover the line (-6.5 points) against the Brisbane Broncos in the NRL.

Leg 4: Tennessee Titans to cover the line (-3.5 points) against the Dallas Cowboys in the NFL.

Leg 5: Seattle Seahawks to cover the line (-5.5 points) against the San Diego Chargers in the NFL.

This multi should pay around the $28 mark.

As always:

  1. Please gamble responsibly.
  2. Whilst all care is taken with tips on this site, no responsibility vests for losses incurred.

 

Weekend Multi: NFL, NRL, Rugby and AFL

This weekend is one of my favourite weekends of the sporting year: Week 1 of the NFL starts this weekend!  In honour of the NFL start I have included 3 NFL games in this weekend’s multi.

Leg 1: Hawthorn to defeat Geelong by less than 40 points in the AFL.

Leg 2: Sydney to defeat Fremantle by less than 40 points in the AFL.

Leg 3: New Zealand to cover the line (-27.5 points) against Argentina in the Rugby Championship.

Leg 4: Newcastle to cover the line (-4 points) against St George in the NRL.

Leg 5: New England Patriots to cover the line (-5 points) against the Miami Dolphins in the NFL.

Leg 6: Chicago Bears to cover the line (-7 points) against the Buffalo Bills in the NFL.

Leg 7: Kansas City Chiefs to cover the line (-3.5 points) against the Tennessee Titans in the NFL.

This multi will pay about $110 for each dollar invested.

As always:

  1. Please gamble responsibly.
  2. All care is taken with tis on this site but no responsibility vests for losses incurred.

Shumpty’s Punt: the Weekend Wager

Here is this weekend’s sports multi:

Leg 1: Geelong to cover the line (-14.5 points) against Carlton in the AFL

Leg 2: Port Adelaide to defeat Gold Coast by 25 or great points in the AFL

Leg 3: South Africa to cover the line (-24.5 points) against Argentina in the Rugby Championship

Leg 4: New Zealand to defeat Newcastle by 13 or more points in the NRL

Leg 5: Manly to defeat Gold Coast by 13 or more points in the NRL

This multi will return $52 (ish) for each dollar invested.

As always:

  1. Please gamble responsibly.
  2. All care is taken with tips on this website but no responsibility vests for loses incurred.

Mowen Factor: in search of a better performance and a win

Much has been made during the week in rugby circles of the dropping of Will Genia and the elevation of Ben Mowan to the captaincy of the Australian team.

 

First things first: Genia had to be dropped. He has been in ordinary form since (indeed during) the Lions tour and only the frailty of Australia's fly halfs and forwards has saved him from scrutiny he otherwise would have faced. Nic White has earned his chance.

 

Onto Mowen: it has been obvious to all keen watchers of Super Rugby that Ben Mowen was a captain of the Wallabies of the future. I just don't think anyone expected his elevation to come so soon. Having seen his exemplary work at the helm of the Brumbies and noting that he is leading a team replete with his Brumbies team mates, I have no doubt he will do a fine job.

 

As a Wallabies fan I want to see a win tonight. It is that simple. Equally, I remember the sour feeling left with me having watched the Wallabies scrape to a win against the Pumas on the Gold Coast last year so the other thing I want to see from the Wallabies is a vastly improved performance as well. It is not good enough, in my unlearned opinion, for the Wallabies to scrape over the line here because that will still be considered a loss in some quarters. So, for me, the win is important but equally as important is the performance.

 

A final word: I wrote earlier in the week about giving Ewen McKenzie a break from the rhetoric and my view in that has not changed. Indeed, I have probably moved even further along the spectrum to the view that I am comfortable with Australia coming third in the Rugby Championship because this is an obvious rebuilding phase in the post Deans era. South Africa and New Zealand are ahead of us at the moment and that, as hard as it is to say, is ok because I have faith that McKenzie can turn us around given time.

 

With one eye on tonight and one on the future: I can not wait for kick off and seeing Ben Mowen lead Australia into battle.

Bledisloe Cup: Game 2 Keys to Victory

Game 2 of the Bledisloe cup kicks off very shortly and here are my keys to victory:

1. 4th choice fly half?

Tom Taylor comes in at fly half for the All Blacks following injuries to Messrs Carter, Cruden and Barrett. He is a young player who has spent a large part of the domestic season at inside centre. He has been picked ahead of the Highlanders Colin Slade and the Australian’s have been overt in their intention to place as much pressure as possible on him. If he performs well then the All Blacks machine will march on one suspects.

2. O’Connor factor

I mentioned in my keys to victory for the first test that the battle between O’Connor and Smith would be a key to success in that game and so it proved with Smith, frankly, playing O’Connor off the break last time out. One can expect that the All Blacks will direct most of their attack to O’Connor’s wing again and if he is the turnstile he was in the first test match the All Blacks will likely win.

3. The Master v The Apprentice

In my preview last week I dared to question Richie McCaw’s fitness and, yet again, I was proven wrong with Lord McCaw putting on a classic display of ruck and running play. He is the best forward in the game without question at the moment. In the gold jersey opposing him is Michael Hooper: a young man on the rise with a significant reputation as a dynamo at number 7. If Hooper can play to his reputation and best Lord McCaw here that will go a long way to an Australian win. Conversely, a McCaw masterpiece will again rest the game to the All Blacks favour.

4. Battle of the Benches

The bench for the All Blacks is the least experienced it has been for a long time. At the same time the Wallabies have a number of experienced charges to call on in the event of an injury, particularly in the form of Quade Cooper who, one suspects, will play a large part in the second half when the opposition forwards are tired and the gaps are opening up.

This will be another exciting contest and, after the thrashing the All Blacks gave the Wallabies in the first test, the Wallabies will be looking for some redemption and to keep the series alive for the 3d test in October at Forsyth Barr Stadium.

Shumpty’s Punt: Weekend Multi and Saturday Specials

Another massive weekend of sport beckons and I have a five leg multi that I am particularly keen on as well as three bets at Eagle Farm that I think will bring a return for punters.

Sports Multi

Leg 1: Wellington to cover the line (-8.5 points) against Taranaki in the ITM Cup ($1.90)

Leg 2: Waikato to cover the line (-7.5 points) against Otago in the ITM Cup ($1.90)

Leg 3: Detroit Tigers to cover the line (-1.5 runs) against the New York Mets in the MLB ($2.01)

Leg 4: Pittsburgh Pirates to defeat the San Fransisco Giants in the MLB ($2.24)

Leg 5: South Africa to cover the line (-13.5 points) against Argentina in the Rugby Championship

This bet will pay $31.20 for each dollar invested. Please note that you have to get this one on by 4pm this (Friday) afternoon.

Horse Racing

All of my best this weekend are at Eagle Farm on Saturday and are as follows:

Race 2: Number 4 Bribie (each way) ($6.00/$2.00)

Race 4: Number 3 Awesome Ransom (win) ($4.00)

Race 7: Number 2 Funtantes (each way) ($9.00/$2.80)

As always, please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.