Stakes Day: Tip Sheet

The week long festival of spring racing ends today with Stakes day at Flemington.

Not super keen on much today but will be having two each way bets on two of my favourite horses:

Race 6 Number 1 Buffering
Race 7 Number 7 Huckelbuck

I wouldn’t say I am filled with confidence today after a horrid Oaks Day but will be keeping a keen eye on these two runners.

As always:

1. Please gamble responsibly.
2. Whilst all care is used in producing these tips no responsibility vests for losses incurred.

VRC Oaks Day 2014: Tip Sheet

After a day of mixed emotions at Flemington on Tuesday, attention now turns to Oaks Day.  

After 36 hours of hyperbole and knee jerk reactions it will be good to have some racing to focus on.  

Here are my tips for today’s racing: 

VRC Oaks:

Best Bet: Lumosty (Number 4)

Best Value: Fontein Ruby (Number 1) 

Remainder of the race card: 

Race 1 Number 6 Tear Gas
Race 2 Number 10 Cadillac Mountain 
Race 3 Number 1 Eloping 
Race 4 Number 2 Beauty’s Beast 
Race 5 Number 6 Proactive 
Race 6 Number 5 Bounding 
Race 7 Number 16 Angels Beach 
Race 9 Number 6 Gridhian (e/w) 

I have a bad feeling that today’s racing will be attempted to be hijacked by the anti-racing lobby who frankly have significant questions to answer in my opinion (https://shumpty77.com/2014/11/05/horse-racing-5-questions-for-the-anti-racing-lobby-and-associated-keyboard-warriors-bandwagons/ ), nonetheless I hope you have great day if you are on the punt or just a fan watching. 

As always:
1. Please gamble responsibly. 
2. Whilst all care is taken with these tips no responsibility vest for losses incurred.

Melbourne Cup 2014: Tip Sheet

It is the race that stops a nation and around the country today there will be many who stop the humdrum of their daily work to watch a thoroughbred race over 3200 metres from the famous Flemington track.  This is a truly great day in sport, not just Australian sport, and, frankly, if you are not a fan of this day of sport I simply say don’t read any further!

Melbourne Cup Day is a historically tough day on the punt and that being the case my investments will necessarily be smaller than on the other big days of racing during the year.

Here are my tips for Melbourne Cup Day 2014:

Melbourne Cup, Race 7

Best Bet:

Signoff (Number 24): Have been following this horse for a while and loved his run in the Lexus to get into the Cup.  Carrying the lightest weight in the race and carrying one of the best jockeys in the world I love this horse’s chances in the great race.

Best Value:

Red Cadeaux (Number 4): It is pretty simple, this horse seems to grow a leg in the friendly confines of Flemington and has come second in the last two runnings of this race. Paying $20ish in fixed price markets this horse is the best each way bet of the day.

Mega First Four:

It wouldn’t be the Melbourne Cup without having a wager in the first four.  With 24 horses in the race the first four is oft a lottery and that means both that it pays to include a lot of horses whilst there is a prospect of jagging a big dividend. I have picked 10 horses that I will be boxing in the first four as follows:

Admire Rakti (Number 1)
Fawkner (Number 3)
Red Cadeaux (Number 4)
Protectionist (Number 5)
Mutual Regard (Number 11)
Willing Foe (Number 13)
Au Revoir (Number 18)
Opinion (Number 20)
Lucia Valentina (Number 22)
Signoff (Number 24)
You will need to put some money into this to get a return but if this first does get up I am more than a bit certain that it will get put you back in spades.
Exotic Special
I have been thinking a lot about how this race might pan out.  There is a very good chance that the favourite, Admire  Rakti, will be in the top two so I am going to box him with my best bet, Signoff, and my value bet, Red Cadeaux in an exacta.
Boxed Exacta: Admire Rakti (1), Red Cadeaux (4), Signoff (24)
The Rest of the Card
There are, of course 9 other races on the card for Melbourne Cup day.  As I noted in the preamble I will not be investing too greatly in the day and particularly not in these races.  Nonetheless, here are my tips for the remainder of the day’s racing:
Race 1: No selection
Race 2: Number 6 Dig a Pony
Race 3: Number 5 Grand Marshall
Race 4: Number 5 Spy Decoder
Race 5: Number 1 Law
Race 6: Number 2 Wine Tales
Race 8: Number 9 Pheidon
Race 9: Number 11 Target in Sight
Race 10: No selection
I hope you have a great day on the punt, wherever it is you are punting and enjoy your day!
As always:
  1. Please gamble responsibly.
  2. Whilst all care is taken with these tips no responsibility vests for losses incurred.

Derby Day: Best Bets

It is the start of the festival of racing at Flemington today and, as always, the festival kicks off with the best day of racing of the year: Derby Day. Here are my best bets across the card at Flemington:

Race 1 Number 15 Azkadellia 

Race 2 Number 3 Abduction

Race 3 Number 4 Huckelbuck

Race 4 Number 3 Scissor Kick 

Race 5 Number 9 Signoff 

Race 6 Number 15 Rising Romance 

Race 7 Number 2 Moonovermanhattan (The Derby)

Race 8 Number 1 Sweet Idea

Race 9 Number 6 Deep Field 

Whatever it is you are doing and wherever you are watching this great day of racing I hope you have an enjoyable day! Good luck and good punting!!!

The Epsom and Turnbull Stakes Day: Best Bets

Spring Carnival racing kicks off today with Turnbull Stakes day at Flemington and the Epsom at Randwick.  There are some great races on today however I am limiting my investments to the two big races.

Turnbull Stakes: I am going for some value (I concede $6 is not great value for some but it is for me!) in this race and I think there is no better value today than Happy Trails (No 2) in a race this horse won last year.  Despite carrying weight I think this race sets up well with the distance and track suiting.

The Epsom: Can not go past Royal Descent (No 2) in this race.  Has been runner up in all three starts this preparation.  Has the right trainer (Waller) and the right jockey (Bowman) and should be perfect prepared for this race.

Good luck if you are having a punt today.  As always:

  1. Please gamble responsibly.
  2. All care is taken with these tips however no responsibility for losses vests.

Shumpty’s Punt: Saturday Specials

I have not had a bet on a Saturday for a couple of weeks: I just have not seen anything going around that really inspired confidence.  This Saturday though I have a couple of tips that I am feel more than a bit confident about.

Flemington:

Race 6 Number 2 Criterion (each way)

Race 7 Number 1 Shamexpress (each way)

Rosehill:

Race 5 Number 3 Dissident

Race 6 Number 6 White Sage

Doomben:

Race 6 Number 2 Mishani Warrior

As always: good luck and good punting!