Shumpty’s Punt: some weekend fancies and a sports multi

I have not been punting much of late but have done a fairly close examination of the form this weekend and have a couple of fancies at Doomben and sports multi that I am keen on.

Horse Racing

Doomben

Race 6 Number 2 Doubtful Jack

Race 10 Number 3 Dolly Dolly

Sports Multi

Leg 1: On Saturday in the NBA the Miami Heat to cover the line against the Indiana Pacers (-2.5 points) at $1.92

Leg 2: Also on Saturday in the NBA the New York Knicks to defeat the Milwaukee Bucks at $1.48

Leg 3: In the early hours of Sunday morning in the EPL QPR to defeat Norwich at $1.95

Leg 4: Also in the early hours of Sunday morning in the EPL Arsenal to defeat Stoke at $1.44

Leg 5: Finally it is Super Bowl weekend and it would not be a weekend multi without a Super Bowl bet for Monday morning and in that came I like the San Francisco 49ers to cover the line against the Baltimore Ravens (+3.5 points) at $1.89.

All up this multi will return $15.10 (all odds from sportsbet.com.au).

Good luck and good punting.

Shumpty’s Punt: it’s back!

Well I am sure some of you will say “I told you so” and I concede that I threw the toys out of the cot last year when I stated that I would not be publishing a tipping blog again after a run of terrible form. A new year means a new start and after a couple of nights of study I think I have come up with a couple of bets on the weekend as well as a sports multi-bet that I am confident about.

Racing:

It is Magic Millions Day on the Gold Coast on Saturday and whilst I will not be down there I will have an interest in a couple of races:

Race 5:

Really like the Waterhouse horse Driefontein in this. Not sure the other fancies have much chance from the gates they have drawn and Driefontein has the plum gate of number 3. I expect Tommy Berry to salute here.

Race 6:

In the 2 year old classic no matter how much I look at this race I keep coming back to the mount of L Birchley: Missy Longstocking. Four starts for four wins is the best form you can get and from the 5 gate will get a plumb ride. The money has been for it on Sportsbet.com.au having shortened from $7.50 into $6.50 in early betting.

Race 7:

The Magic Millions Cup is a much tougher race for mine than the 2 year old classic. In this one I have always looked for form at the track as a guide more so than in the 2 year old classic. Combining good form at the track and a good gate is the Hawkes horse Stratford. I think it will win and at $6.50 at the moment is pretty good value.

Race 8:

A shorty in the last for the “get out stakes” I’m Cool. Just can not see anything beating it in this field but if you like this horse I would lock in the $2.60 about it you can get on sports bet right now as I expect it will shorten on the day.

Sports multi-bet

I have a four leg multi for the weekend that I reckon is right on the money and will reap a good return for punters without being spectular.

Leg 1: This evening kicking off at 4pm Brisbane time India at home to defeat England in their ODI fixture at $1.67.

Leg 2: On Saturday morning, in the NBA the Atlanta Hawks to cover the line (-4.0 points) against the Utah Jazz at home at $1.92.

Leg 3: On Sunday morning, in the NFL finals the San Francisco 49ers to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the Green Bay Packers at home at $2.05.

Leg 4: On Monday morning, also in the NFL finals the Atlanta Falcons to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the Seattle Seahawks at home at $2.02.

All up this multi will return $13.28 if it gets up.

Good luck and good punting to all.

A sneaky Thursday multi: Basketball, basketball and more basketball

After missing out on a multi collect for the 4th time this year because of the Lakers, I am having another look at a multi today that is focused on the NBA and NCAA.

Here is a 5 legger that I am fairly confident about (all prices are from sportsbet.com.au):

Leg 1: New York Knicks at home to defeat the Brooklyn Nets straight out at $1.39

Leg 2: Indiana Pacers to cover the line (-3.5 points) at home against the Utah Jazz at $1.92.

Leg 3: Toronto Raptors to cover the line (-3.0 points) at home against the Detroit Pistons at $1.92.

Leg 4: Cornell to cover the line (+28.0 points) away against Duke at $1.87.

Leg 5: Louisville to cover the line (-27.5 points) at home against Florida International at $1.90

Combined this multi will pay $18.21 for every dollar invested so will be nice little earner if it comes up.

I also really like Xavier to cover the line (+9.0 points) away against Cincinnati at $1.90 in a cross-town rivalry game that last year ended in a brawl and player suspensions.

As always: good luck and good punting!

Shumpty’s Punt: some Saturday bets

It has been a bit of a barren spell on the punt on this blog and frankly that has been a combination of not having much spare time to do the form and really think about my bets and not being able to pick my nose when it comes to a winner.

This week (and particularly last night as I watch the highlights of today’s play at the Adelaide Oval) I have had more of a chance to think about some bets for this week.

Here is where I think there might be some winners over the rest of the weekend and where I will be investing my hard earned cash.

Racing

Eagle Farm:

Best win bet:                      Race 2 Number 4 Jugahlation

Best each way bet:            Race 6 Number 16 Soft Angel

Sydney:

Best bet:                               Race 7 Number 11 Our Design

Sports 

I will be looking at a small multi this weekend made up of the 4 legs (all odds are from sportsbet.com.au and are as at the time of writing):

Leg 1: Everton to defeat Norwich at home in the EPL ($1.44)

Leg 2: Stoke to defeat Fulham at home in the EPL ($2.20)

Leg 3: Tennessee Titans to cover the line (-3.5) against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL ($1.90)

Leg 4: Denver Broncos to cover the line (-10.0) against the Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL ($1.90)

These four legs combined will pay a tidy $11.44.  Here’s hoping come Monday morning (after the NFL games complete) followers are laughing their way to the bank.

Good luck and good punting and, as always, please gamble responsibly.

The 1st Tuesday in November: where my money will be

I have read a bit on Twitter this week that “everyone’s an expert this time of year”. I do not profess to be an expert and I have no expectation that anyone will follow my tips for the Melbourne Cup but I thought, in the interests of being able to gloat after the event if my bets come off, I would post my selections for the “race that stops the nation”.

So here is how I will be spending my hard earned cash on the Melbourne Cup:

Best bet: Red Cadeaux ($9 on Sportsbet)

Best roughie: Cavalryman ($31 on Sportsbet having been smashed at its opening price of $51).

Boxed first 4: 1, 2, 4, 7, 8, 10, 15, 17 ($168 will get you 10% of the first 4 dividend).

Good luck and good punting to everyone. Hope you have a great day!

Shumpty

Shumpty’s Punt: the weekend multi 24/08/12

It is that time of the week again when minds turn to the sport one is going to be watching the weekend. With another weekend packed with sports to watch the next question that floats into the mind is what ought one bet on. I have come up with a six leg multi that I like the chances of for punters. Last week’s multi was a disaster right from the first leg so I hope this week’s version serves punters better.

I am a bit short of time this week so will dispense with the commentary around my selections and jump straight to it. Before I do though a shout out for my Rugby Championship preview on pinkrugby.com. If you want to be in the know about all things rugby it is hard to go past this excellent site.

All prices are as at the time of writing from sportsbet.com.au.

So the multi for this week is as follows:

Leg 1: Brisbane Lions to defeat the Port Adelaide Power at home in the AFL ($1.70)

Leg 2: New Zealand All Blacks to cover the line (-14.5) against the Australian Wallabies in the Rugby Championship ($1.92)

Leg 3: North Queensland Cowboys to cover the line (-8.5) against the Newcastle Knights in the NRL ($1.87)

Leg 4: Swansea to defeat West Ham United in the English Premier League ($2.10)

Leg 5: Chelsea to defeat Newcastle United in the English Premier League ($1.53)

Leg 6: South Africa Springboks to cover the line (-9.5) against the Argentina Pumas in the Rugby Championship ($1.92)

This multi will pay $37.65 for each dollar invested. As always: good luck and good punting to all!

Shumpty