New Years Day 2015: Best Bets

Welcome to 2015 and punting. Last year was a pretty good year on the punt despite a woeful 2014 Melbourne Cup Carnival and this year, again, I will be posting what I think are the best bets of the days racing, when I have had the time to do the form!

To kick things off, here are my best bets for the first day of racingi of 2015:

 

Flemington

Race 2 Number 5 Final Fling

Race 6 Number 1 Reparations

 

Randwick

Race 5 Number 6 Bold Circle

Race 7 Number 5 His Majesty

 

Doomben

Race 5 Number 2 She’s Miss Divine

 

Ascot

Race 8 Number 6 Bass Strait (E/W)

 

As always:

  1. Please gamble responsibly.
  2. All care is taken with these tips however no responsibility vests for losses incurred.
Good luck and good punting!

Saturday Best Bets: Racing

I have not really had a punt since the Melbourne Cup carnival however coming into the Christmas break and with the Magic Millions Carnival just around the corner I have run the ruler of the races for this Saturday and have come up with a couple of best bets for todays racing.

Brisbane:

Race 2: Number 8 Zaha’s Ace
Race 6: Number 11 Tarloshan

Sydney:

Race 5: Number 3 Our Boy Malachi
Race 8: Number 8 Whitten’s Delight (e/w)

Melbourne:

Race 3: Number 6 Corporate Takeover
Race 7: Number 4 Kingdom of Dreams

I hope you find a winner if you are having a bet.

As always:

1. Please gamble responsibly.
2. Whilst all care is taken with these tips, no responsibility vests for loses incurred.

Horse Racing: 5 questions for the anti-racing lobby (and associated keyboard warriors / bandwagoners)

Yesterday the Melbourne Cup was run and won at Flemington.  In the aftermath of the race two horses sadly passed away.  In case you missed the news:

  • Admire Rakti collapsed after the race in his stall and died on course.
  • Araldo was spooked by a spectator on the way back to the mounting yard, suffered multiple leg fractures and had to be euthanized at the Werribee Vet clinic.

The death of these horses is a stomach wrenching event that no true fan of the sport of horse racing will consider with anything other than sadness.

Unfortunately, and not surprisingly, the loss of the horses has been used as a launching pad for an assault on the sport of horse racing by both the protest lobby that is a constant in the horse racing industry and the usual key board warriors looking for 30 seconds of social media fame.

Let me be clear here: I am a horse racing fan.  I have been since my grandfather Col first talked to me about racing as we listened the scratching report on a Saturday morning when I was a 10 year old.

Even if I was not such a fan though I would be absolutely infuriated by the response from those with everything gain but no investment in the industry taking advantage of the death of these two horses.  To those taking said advantage I want to ask 5 questions:

  1. Do you concede that the death of Araldo, if fault is to be vested for the horse’s death, rests with the idiot waving a large flag at the horses and the lax security staff that allowed the flag to be in the race course? Could you explain to me how that conduct is the fault of the horse racing industry?
  2. Thoroughbred horses are bred for the principal purpose of racing under a saddle.  In addition to racing, Thoroughbreds compete in eventing, show jumping and dressage at the highest levels of international competition, including the Olympics. They are also used as show hunters, steeplechasers, and in western riding speed events such as barrel racing. Do you intend also to seek a ban of EVERY event a thoroughbred horse competes in?
  3. Do you also protest, or intend to protest, injuries and fatalities that befall other types of horses such as injuries and fatalities that occur in farming? By extension do you intend to seek a ban of horses being used in working contexts? Horses are beautiful animals but they are also fragile and injuries happen to them in many contexts outside of horse racing.
  4. Do you also protest, or intend to protest, the slaughter of animals bred to provide meat and other products humans eat and drink? If you decry the death of an animal bred to race surely you must also protest the death of an animal bred for meat?
  5. There are no definitive statistics as to the number of humans who have died playing sport in 2014.  You maintain statistics for the number of deaths of thoroughbred horses so I assume you have access to the same statistics for humans? Do you intend to protest and seek a ban of every sport in which a human died in 2014?

I am advocate for debate in every form but I am an even stronger advocate for a balanced debate.  When the anti-racing lobby and their hangers on can answer the questions above cogently then I will listen to their arguments: until then their approach smacks of sensationalism as best and woeful opportunism at worst.

The fact is that yesterday two horses, bred to race, died at a horse racing carnival, one as a result of being spooked by an alleged fan of horse racing.  As a fan of horse racing I remain gutted at the loss of these horses and my condolences go out to the horses’ connections.  Your loss should be honoured rather than used as a pulpit.

Caulfield Cup Day: Best Bets

Here are my tips for today’s racing:

Caulfield Cup:

Every thing seems to point to the favourite, Lucia Valentina, winning this race particularly over a good win in the Turnbull.  I am going to take on the favourite here and tip Lidari (Number 14) to win.  Here’s why:

  • Strong form over the distance when still racing in France.
  • Turnbull run was just fantastic given the amount of work the horse had to do and was only half a length away from besting Lucia Valentina there.
  • Has picked up an inside gate in this race and will be able to settle towards the front half of the field.
  • Meets Lucia Valentina 1.5kgs better from the Turnbull.

At $9 fixed price Lidari is the winner for me.

Value punters should also have a look at Stipulate (Number 13) which at $21 presents great each way value given his barrier draw and with not much weight on.

Best Bet: Lidari

Value Bet: Stipulate

Other Races

Caulfield: Race 1 Number 2 Azkadella

Randwick: Race 3 Number 3 Hero I Am

Doomben: Race 8 Number 5 I’m Usian

Good luck and good punting.

As always:

  1. Please gamble responsibly.
  2. All care is taken with these tips however no responsibility vests for losses incurred.

The Epsom and Turnbull Stakes Day: Best Bets

Spring Carnival racing kicks off today with Turnbull Stakes day at Flemington and the Epsom at Randwick.  There are some great races on today however I am limiting my investments to the two big races.

Turnbull Stakes: I am going for some value (I concede $6 is not great value for some but it is for me!) in this race and I think there is no better value today than Happy Trails (No 2) in a race this horse won last year.  Despite carrying weight I think this race sets up well with the distance and track suiting.

The Epsom: Can not go past Royal Descent (No 2) in this race.  Has been runner up in all three starts this preparation.  Has the right trainer (Waller) and the right jockey (Bowman) and should be perfect prepared for this race.

Good luck if you are having a punt today.  As always:

  1. Please gamble responsibly.
  2. All care is taken with these tips however no responsibility for losses vests.