NSP to name touring party to South Africa: will first class form count for anything?

Cricket Australia’s National Selection Panel will name its touring squad to South Africa.  A squad of fifteen is expected to be named by John Inverarity and, largely, the squad selects itself.  These names will be read out today without fail: Clarke (c), Haddin (vc), Rogers, Warner, Watson, Smith, Bailey, Johnson, Siddle, Harris, Lyon, Faulkner.  There has been much talk about George Bailey’s place in the Australian test team but, as any follower of the test team will attest, historically Cricket Australia like to keep winning teams together regardless of poor form so Bailey will tour.

That leaves three spots open for selection.  I have regularly written here about the need for selections to be based on first class (Sheffield Shield) rm and if that was the case those three spots (assuming that one batsman and two bowlers go as cover) should be filled by some of the following players:

  • Batsmen: Marcus North (593 runs, 98.33 average, 3 hundreds), Phil Hughes (549 runs, 61.00 average, 3 hundreds), Callum Ferguson (3 games, 289 runs, 72..25 average, 1 hundred).
  • Bowlers: Chadd Sayers (22 wickets, 28.04 average,), Luke Feldman (17 wickets, 24.58 average), Steve O’Keefe (24 wickets, 22.25 average), Michael Hogan (21 wickets, 23.66 average).

I am prepared to guarantee though that none of these names will appear in the squad of fifteen named today.  Alex Doolan will be the reserve batsman and the reserve bowlers will be Nathan Coulter-Nile and James Pattinson. I have written before on this blog about the need for players who are injured to be eased back into the game via first class cricket.  The NSP does not appear to agree with that approach given the manner in which they have managed the injuries of other first bowlers returning.  So that means that Pattinson, an excellent bowler I concede, will go on tour with out T20 and ODI cricket as preparation.  Alex Doolan appears to be the flavour of the month with the willow despite averaging 39.10 in first class cricket this summer and an overall average of 37.52.  I have no major cavil with Coulter-Nile’s selection.

Ordinarly I would be waiting with bated breath for the announcement of a squad for such an important tour.  Bizarrely, I am ambivalent this time around because of that feeling that we all know who the NSP will be selecting.  I hope I am wrong but know I am right.

The Ashes Washup: I got it wrong and I love it!

On 19 November last year, in advance of the start of the Ashes series, I posted “5 Fearless Predictions” on this blog apropos key performances that I believed would play a large factor in who won the Ashes.

Those predictions were:

  1. There would be only one winning in the Broad v Australian crowd battle and the winner’s team would likely win the Ashes.
  2. Michael Clarke would average less than 35.00 with the willow.
  3. The Australian XI for the Sydney test match would be different to that of the Brisbane test match.
  4. Kevin Pietersen will score a hundred and will offend everyone.
  5. No matter what happens the “Three Stooges” will survive.

I also had been fairly overt in my dismay, at the time, about the selection of Mitchell Johnson. Obviously I got that one woefully wrong along with my predictions about Michael Clarke’s performance, possible changes to the Australian XI and Pietersen scoring a hundred.

I had also posited that the result would be, according to my heart, Australia to win 2-1 and, according to my head, England to win 2-1.  Again: I was wrong.

One of the most mimicked lines of Richie Benaud is “It’s a funny old game cricket” and this completed Ashes tour has certainly taught us that.

Ordinarily I would have a case of the “dirts” because I got my predications wrong but how could I be negative about a 5-0 whipping of the English? Simply put: I can not be!  That said, I am now working hard to manage my own expectations of the Australian team for the coming series in South Africa.  That series will not be anywhere near as easy as this one just completed was and any hint of complacency will be exploited by the best team in the world, for the moment.

A final point: I never in my wildest dreams thought England would be so bad on this tour.  Mitchell Johnson, in his acceptance speech for the Man of the Series award, commented that England never stopped fighting during the series: Ben Stokes aside I respectfully disagree.  England’s capitulations in both innings in the final test of the series were indicative of a side that had given up: nothing more and nothing less.  I genuinely hope that Andy Flower and Alistair Cook can get the Poms back on track because whilst I love nothing more than beating them, seeing competitive cricket against them in previous series has been a joy.

Cricket: Prime Minister’s XI named … why are we rewarding T20 mercenaries?!

The National Selection Panel and the Prime Minister have named the Prime Minister’s XI to play England at Manuka Oval on January 14.

The full team is:

  • Brett Lee (Captain) NSW
  • Jackson Bird TAS
  • Ben Cutting QLD
  • Peter Handscomb (wk) VIC
  • Brad Hodge VIC
  • Chris Lynn QLD
  • Alister McDermott QLD
  • James Muirhead VIC
  • Luke Pomersbach QLD
  • Clive Rose TAS
  • Michael Spaseski ACT
  • Shane Devoy (12th man) ACT

The selections of Chris Lynn and Alister McDermott is particularly pleasing as they have been in excellent form across all forms of the game for the Queensland Bulls and Brisbane Heat.

The only question mark that I have is the inclusion of Brett Lee and Brad Hodge in this line up.  Surely there are two experienced players in the domestic set up who actually are more than T20 mercenaries who could have been selected.  The experienced Bollinger and Copeland have been in great form and could have been the additional bowler.  Marcus North is the form batsman of the Sheffield Shield and has was also in good form in the Ryobi Cup and could have been captain.

Cricket: The “Best Bowling Attack” Hyperbole

Much has been made by those in the Australia cricket set up and press of late of the Australian team’s claim (via Craig McDermott and Peter Siddle principally) that it possesses the best bowling attack in the world.  This statement has come after Australia’s annihilation of England in the recently completed Ashes series.

There is no doubt that the Australia bowling attack bowled splendidly against England, led by Ryan Harris and Mitchell Johnson.  That said, I have been left to wonder over recent days as to whether the claim to fame as being the best bowling is merely hyperbole or has some roots in fact.

Obviously then it is important to consider the facts around who the best bowlers in the world currently are and then consider whether those best bowlers form the best attack.

The ICC Test Match Rankings are as good as place as any to start.  The current bowling rankings (updated to include the recently completed Ashes Tour) are:

Ranking Player Country
1 V.D. Philander South Africa
2 D.W. Steyn South Africa
3 R.J. Harris Australia
4 H.M.R.K.B. Herath Sri Lanka
5 Saeed Ajmal Pakistan
6 P.M. Siddle Australia
7 R. Ashwin India
8 M.G. Johnson Australia
9 P.P. Ojha India
10 T.A. Boult New Zealand
10 S.C.J. Broad England
12 M. Morkel South Africa
13 T.G. Southee New Zealand
14 Abdur Rehman Pakistan
15 J.M. Anderson England
16 K.A.J. Roach West Indies
17 B.W. Hilfenhaus Australia
18 N.M. Lyon Australia
19  Shakib Al Hasan Bangladesh
20 S. Shillingford West Indies

Australia has all four of its present bowling attack in the top 20 in the world at the moment, therefore, on first principals they have the best attack in the world will be the argument of some, particularly those who are ardent fans of the ICC rankings system. That said, there are many, me included, who hold little stock in the ICC system so it is necessary to dig a bit deeper in the form of the relevant bowling attacks.  Before doing so, the ICC Rankings are useful in one sense: it is possible to remove a number teams, and their attacks, from consideration here based on their lack of representation in said rankings: Bangladesh, Zimbabwe and Sri Lanka have scant representation and can be removed.

Statistically, I am of a view that an analysis of the last 12 months of test matches would be the best way to examine who has the best bowling attack.  As the tables below show, a simple statistical representation is problematic.

Most Wickets (1 Jan 2013 to date):

Player Mat Inns Overs Runs Wkts Ave SR
SCJ Broad (Eng) 15 28 512 1722 66 26.09 46.5
JM Anderson (Eng) 15 29 567.5 1768 55 32.14 61.9
DW Steyn (SA) 9 18 357.4 901 51 17.66 42
TA Boult (NZ) 12 21 429.5 1154 46 25.08 56
RJ Harris (Aus) 9 18 328.3 895 46 19.45 42.8
NM Lyon (Aus) 12 24 455.4 1556 45 34.57 60.7
PM Siddle (Aus) 15 28 489.1 1316 45 29.24 65.2
GP Swann (Eng) 10 19 440 1466 43 34.09 61.3
R Ashwin (India) 7 14 355.2 923 41 22.51 52
MG Johnson (Aus) 7 14 235.4 669 40 16.72 35.3
Saeed Ajmal (Pak) 8 14 409 1062 39 27.23 62.9
VD Philander (SA) 8 16 278 686 38 18.05 43.8
S Shillingford (WI) 6 9 261.5 802 36 22.27 43.6
TG Southee (NZ) 8 15 333.3 898 36 24.94 55.5
N Wagner (NZ) 10 18 373 1271 35 36.31 63.9
RA Jadeja (India) 5 10 255.4 573 30 19.1 51.1
HMRKB Herath (SL) 4 8 234.3 605 25 24.2 56.2
Junaid Khan (Pak) 6 11 242.1 656 23 28.52 63.1
Sohag Gazi (Ban) 6 11 290.3 807 22 36.68 79.2
ST Finn (Eng) 6 10 179.1 670 20 33.5 53.7

Test Match Results (1 Jan 2013 to date)

Team Mat Won Lost Tied Draw W/L
South Africa 9 7 1 0 1 7
Australia 15 6 7 0 2 0.85
India 8 6 1 0 1 6
England 15 5 5 0 5 1
New Zealand 12 2 4 0 6 0.5
Pakistan 8 2 5 0 1 0.4
West Indies 7 2 4 0 1 0.5
Zimbabwe 6 2 4 0 0 0.5
Bangladesh 6 1 2 0 3 0.5
Sri Lanka 4 1 1 0 2 1

The problem arises with in the obvious discrepancy between the number of tests played by the various test match playing nations. It is impossible to compare statistically the efforts of those who have played for, for example, South Africa with those who have played for England because of the significant variance between in the number of tests played by the two teams.

That being the case, a different analysis is necessary.  The efforts of a bowling attack are best examined, in my view, in the considering who often they take wickets (strike rate) and the quantum of runs scored against the attack.  The later examination is one that ought be undertaken in two parts: a per average based and then by tallying the number of innings under 200 produced by the opposition of each team.

This table sets out the results of that analysis:

Team Strikerate Innings Ave Innings <200
South Africa 50 224.27 6
Australia 57.74 268.14 6
England 57.62 281.13 3
India 56.68 254.38 5

Based on this analysis, then South Africa must have had the better bowling attack in the last 12 months mustn’t they? They have the best strike rate in terms of balls bowled per wicket and have restricted their opponents to the lowest sum of runs per innings.

Deniers of this view will say that Australia possesses more fire power and has the great ability to run through teams as evidenced by the efforts of Johnson et al against England.  Whilst it is true that Australia’s bowlers went through periods against England of taking clumps of wickets for not many runs, did they dismiss their opponents this year for less than 100 at any point? The answer to that enquiry is no whereas the South Africans did so thrice in the year.

Australia’s bowlers and coach have earned the right to be overjoyed with their efforts against England.  They should be careful though that this present attack of hyperbole as to who possesses the best bowling attack in the world does not return to bite them on the metaphorical backside.  If nothing else, one can bet that Messrs Steyn, Philander and Morkel have been watching the press coverage of Australia’s statements closely.

The Ashes: 5-0 Australia

The title of this post says it all doesn’t it: Australia have won this Ashes series 5-0 and the breadth of the margin gives the best indication of the chasm between the form of the combatants.  Right from Day 1 of this series at the Gabba, England seemed to be unable to put away Australia when they were in front and so that trend continued in each test match of the summer.

Much has been made of our close the teams have been: and I agree that they are closer than the 5-0 result suggest, it is just that Australia has won every decisive moment of this series.  Every time Australia was in trouble with the bat there was a partnership that wrested the advantage from the English.  Conversely, every time England was in trouble they lost wickets in clusters and could not recover.

That fact alone shows you the difference in the line ups in this series: one was ruthless whilst the other was bereft.  Just as Australia was excellently coached and captained, it would appear that England lost their way both in the dressing room and on the field.

There were some fantastic individual performances in this series but to go through them would be to denigrate what was one of the best team performances I have seen from an Australian sporting team let alone a cricket team.  They were all united by Coach Lehmann and Captain Clarke with one purpose: the destruction of the English and, as a team, they succeeded in that purpose.

For England, there is only one shining light to come out of this tour and that is in the personage of Christchurch born Ben Stokes.  We will be seeing much more of him in years to come one suspects.

I have watched a lot of cricket and I have seen a lot of cricket live and I will say what I said after the first test of this series at the Gabba: I have never experienced crowd involvement in a game of cricket like that which I experienced at the Gabba and that involvement of the crowds has continued through each test right up until the end of the series today.  Australia has brought the passion of its fans, me included, back to the ground and the game, so much so that the anguish in the early hours of winter mornings in July and August is long forgotten.

Now, we have a tour to South African to look forward to which will present a new and different challenge for the Australian team.  With bated breath, I can not wait to see how that series unfolds between two of the heavyweight teams of the game.

United Nations XI: The best players to play for England born elsewhere

It is oft stated by those of us who are not fans of the English cricket team that it is, at times, akin to playing a United Nations XI given that a number of English players over the years have been born, and in some cases played significant cricket, in countries other than England.  As a result of a discussion on this very issue this morning, off the back of an Irishman and Zimbabwean making their debuts for England today, I was set the challenge of naming a “best” English XI made up from those who were born somewhere other than England.

Let me get this out of the way now: I am abundantly aware that some of these players moved to England to play cricket because of political (apartheid), opportunity (their country was not in test cricket) or, indeed, they moved there with their families as children.  I am also not in any way seeking to be racist.  All I am pointing out is that a large quotient of England’s best players, for better or for worse, have been born elsewhere.

The method for picking this XI has been simple: I reviewed the records of the English players who have played the game filtered by from the most tests played to the least and then I looked at the place of birth of players I knew to have been born other than in England.  I may have missed a couple along the way but I reckon this XI is pretty spot on.  Finally: Wales, Scotland and Ireland and NOT part of England for the purpose of this exercise.

Here is the United Nations (English) XI (with country of birth in parenthesis) along with their test records:

Andrew Strauss (South Africa)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
100 7037 177 40.91 121

Mike Denness (Scotland)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
28 1667 188 39.69 28

Allan Lamb (South Africa)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
79 4656 142 36.09 1    1/6 23 75

Kevin Pietersen (South Africa)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
104 8172 227 47.78 10  3/52 86.9 62

Graeme Hick (Zimbabwe)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
65 3383 178 31.32 23 4/126 56.78 90

Basil D’Oliviera (South Africa)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
44 2484 158 40.06 47 3/46 39.55 29

Matt Prior (South Africa)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
75 3920 131 40.83 217

Tony Greig (South Africa)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
58 3599 148 40.43 141 8/86 32.2 87

Chris Lewis (Guyana)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
32 1105 117 23.02 93 6/111 37.52 25

Robert Croft (Wales)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
21 421 37 16.19 49 5/95′ 37.24 10

Norman Cowans (Jamiaca)

Matches Runs HS Ave Wkts BBI Ave Catches
19 175 36 7.95 51 6/77′ 39.27 9

That is a pretty fair XI I am sure you will agree.  It would be remiss of me though to not mention one of the most hated English players to grace these shores (not Stuart Broad for those of you who jumped to that conclusion), Douglas Jardine.  The captain of the Bodyline series and noted anglophile who was almost overt in his dislike for Australians was born in India.