Cricket: Australia in South Africa 2014 Preview

Australia’s first challenge after its besting of the English in the Ashes at test match level kicks off tomorrow night at Centurion. This is a massive series for both sides:

· For Australia, it is massive because it is an opportunity to prove to the cricket watching public that the victory over of the English was not just a flash in the pan that arose because the English were in disarray.

· For South Africa, it is the first test series they will face without the greatest player of his generation (I repeat: sorry Sachin but stats don’t lie) in the form of Jacques Kallis and presents an opportunity to solidify their spot as the best team in the world.

South Africa have an imposing record at home:

· They last lost a test match at home in the Boxing Day test match at Durban against Sri Lanka in 2011 when they were bested by 208 runs. Since that time they have played in 8 test matches and won 7 of those with one draw.

· Since their return to international cricket in 1992 they have played 107 tests in total and have won 62 of them whilst loosing 22 and drawing 23.

Conversely, of late, Australia’s record whilst travelling has been, at best, less than impressive:

· Australia has not won a test match away from home since April 2013 when they defeated the West Indies in Roseau by 75 runs. Since that time Australia has played in 9 test matches in India and England for a return of 7 losses and 2 draws.

· That said, Australia’s record in South Africa has been quite impressive since they returned to test match cricket with 11 of South Africa’s 22 losses since 1992 having been against Australia.

This series has been touted by many as a battle of the bowling attacks and the thought of the likes of Steyn, Philander and Morkel going head to head with Harris, Johnson and Siddle has, or ought to have, fans of quality fast bowler and cricket in general salivating. Mitchell Johnson was nothing short of excellent against the English in Australia in the test matches but then struggled in the one day series that followed. He has been a tormenter of the South Africans in the past and will be looking to repeat that role as a tormenter in this series. Dale Steyn is undisputedly (unless you know nothing about cricket) the best bowler in the world. If you deign to disagree with me on this check out the highlights of any of his recent bowling on YouTube. The spinners for both sides, Lyon and Peterson, are underrated by most but have a knack of taking key wickets and will be seen by both respective oppositions as a respite from the pressure of both pace attacks which could make them dangerous.

It must be conceded, having watched the highlights of Australia’s wickets in each test match of the Ashes series that Australia received the benefit of a number of soft wickets from the English that they will not receive, on current form, from South Africa’s batters.

Whilst I think the South African bowling attack is the premier bowling attack in the world at the moment, if one considers the battle between the attacks as being a “draw” it is obvious then that the form of the batting line-ups will be a large determining factor in the outcome of this series.

As I noted in the preamble, the South Africans are looking for a replacement for Jacques Kallis at number 4 and appear, at this stage, to be looking at replacing him with a bowling all-rounder with Faf du Plessis moving up the order. He leaves a 13,000 hole to be filled which is going to be difficult however in Graeme Smith, Hashim Amla and AB de Villiers they possess 3 of the best batsmen in the world to take up the slack.

For Australia, bizarrely, the batting line up is in a state of flux just 5 weeks after the triumphant Ashes series. Shane Watson is out injured and George Bailey was dropped from that line up. There are four players vying for those two spots with Alex Doolan seemingly favourite to bat number 3 despite being in what could, at best, be described as moderate form whilst the rushing return of Shaun Marsh to the squad seems to make him favourite to replace Shane Watson despite, again, moderate form at best and not actually being a bowler.

Whilst Mitchell Johnson won the match of the series in the Ashes, the efforts of Brad Haddin throughout that series was equally, if not more, important to the outcome of it. More often than not, and no more obviously than in the first test, Haddin came to the wicket earlier than reasonably expected and resurrected Australia’s innings. South Africa’s bowlers are a different prospect all together so Australia’s top 6 will need to lift their respective games to ensure that they are not just reliant on such a resurrection if they are to compete in this series.

South Africa is the obvious, and deserving, favourite to win this series. Whilst in my heart I hope Australia can keep the momentum of the last series going in South Africa, I remain concerned that the result in the Ashes flattered Australia in the sense that the Englishmen’s terrible form made Australia look better than they actually and, that being the case, I think South Africa are more likely that Australia to be victorious.

Having just recovered from the 6 weeks of late nights watching the Ashes in England in July / August last year, cricket fans in Australia now must gear up for another period of late nights, caffeinating by drip bottle and banter as well as some excellent cricket. This is going to be a series for the ages.

Australia in South Africa: talking points

Whilst Australia remains in the heart of a short form cricket series against the England, I was reminded yesterday that we are only 2 weeks away from the start of Australian tour to South Africa. I have been involved in much water cooler talk, twitter discussion and pub ranting about the selection of Australia’s squad for this tour and have spent much time pondering how this tour might go for the Australians and it is clear to me that this tour has piqued an equal, if not greater, level of interest to any overseas tour by the Australian as I can remember of late.

Here are some talking points that have come to the front of mind when thinking about this tour:

1. Does Australia have a chance?

This tour is, afterall, a tour slated as a heavyweight bought between the current number 1 team, South Africa, and the, suddenly, new incumbent challenger for the heavy weight cricket crown, Australia. I wonder though if that incumbency has arisen under a false pretence? Yes Australia played well to defeat England in the Ashes but the more I re-watch the highlights of each test I am left with the nagging suspicion that Australia was flattered by just how bad the English were in Australia. Australia will not be able to draw on, for example, so many opposition wickets to bad shots and bad balls because the South African line up is just too disciplined for that. Don’t get me wrong: in any contest between two rivals both combatants always have a chance of victory so the answer to the question raised above is somewhat rhetorical BUT I suspect Australia’s chances are slimmer than many expect.

2. Who will bat 3 for Australia?

In the Ashes series Shane Watson held down the number slot with George Bailey batting at number 6. Bailey’s replacements in the squad, Doolan and Marsh (assuming he returns to fitness), are both top order batters who have spent the bulk of their careers (if not all) batting at no lower than number 4 in the order. One would have to think that one of Doolan or Marsh (if selected) would bat at number 3 and Watson would shuffle down the order to number 6 and play a true all rounder role. Why else would Inverarity have picked two top order replacements?

3. How will Australia react once there is "chum" in the water?

South Africa have made a mockery of many batting lineups in the last 2 years and have an imposing record of having bowled out opponents for less than 50 three times in that span. Metaphorically speaking, once the "chum" of early wickets floats in front of the sharks that are Steyn, Philander and Morkel, often batting line ups can find no way to get out of the chum trail and find themselves back in the field shortly thereafter. There is a frailty at the top of Australia’s batting line up that tells me that at some point they will face this scenario and if they react poorly a test could be taken away from them in a blink of an eye.

4. Warner v Steyn

I have been watching a lot of highlights of D Steyn’s bowling on YouTube of late. The biggest impression gained from this perusal is that Steyn bowls out left handed batters with weak defensive techniques for sport. He will go around the wicket to David Warner and will probe around his off stump at 145kms moving the ball both ways. Warner has shown a renewed application and focus on his craft against England in Australia however facing Dale Steyn is, in young people speak,"next level" and any weakness in his defence will be exposed.

5. No Kallis: no worries?

The South African hierarchy must have been planning for the retirement of J Kallis for some time but now that that time is here there will be a sharp focus on whomever replaces Kallis in the lineup. It is not possible to replace a player of Kallis’ stature (better than Tendulkar in my view) and thus how South Africa seeks to cover the hole left by this icon of the game’s absence will be both intriguing and, potentially, integral to the ultimate outcome of the series.

I have been asked by many to posit what the outcome of this series will be and I am sad to say that I am tipping, as much as it hurts my heart to do so, a South African series victory. I hope I am wrong but I remain worried about items such as the selection of out of form players by Australia, injuries to bowlers and the form line generally coming from the Ashes. Equally, it will be an enthralling series filled with moments of much drama and, possibly, the defining of some careers. Bring on the late nights night and banter!

Australia names it squad for South Africa and Sheffield Shield form counted for nothing!

I wrote this morning about the selection of the Australian Squad to travel to South Africa for the test series commencing on 12 February 2014.

George Bailey has been dropped from the squad.  The new batsmen selected are Shaun Marsh and Alex Doolan.  The reserve bowlers selected are James Pattinson and Jackson Bird.

As I noted in the post this morning and reaffirm in the title to this post: form in Australia’s first class competition, the Sheffield Shield, has counted for nothing at the selection table. The top run getters in the domestic game in this country have not been selected. Rather, this series of scores has seen Shaun Marsh return to the test squad:

  • 6 and 47
  • 4 and 13
  • 127 not out
  • 42 and 4
  • 1 and 4

How does one regain a place in the national team when scoring only 248 runs in 5 matches at an average of 31.00? Is scoring two half centuries against a mediocre English bowling attack at the end of a shattering season really enough? That is all that Shaun Marsh has done this season.

On the side of the bowlers: am I alone in being completely lost by the strategy of the NSP here? Jackson Bird has not played in a first class game, test matches included, since he played for Australia in August at Chester-le-Street.  His season thus far has consisted of T20 games and one List A fixture for Australia A.  James Pattinson has not played the longest form of the game since he was injured at Lords in July.  He too has played some T20 games and has now appeared for Australia in an ODI.  How can either player be match fit and, more importantly, match hardened if they are called on in South Africa?  With Ryan Harris’ knee a match by match proposition, isn’t it too much to expect the replacement fast bowlers to step in and bowl, potentially 25 overs a day, with only very limited limited overs cricket under their belts?  I just don’t get the thinking!

Cricket Australia needs to have a significant look at the Sheffield Shield competition in this country if the best that is coming from it is a player who averages 31.00 and no one with the ball.  That is really what the NSP is saying with this team isn’t it: no bowler in first class cricket is good enough to be in the squad so we will select two players who have not played in the long form for over six months instead.  Or am I missing something?

NSP to name touring party to South Africa: will first class form count for anything?

Cricket Australia’s National Selection Panel will name its touring squad to South Africa.  A squad of fifteen is expected to be named by John Inverarity and, largely, the squad selects itself.  These names will be read out today without fail: Clarke (c), Haddin (vc), Rogers, Warner, Watson, Smith, Bailey, Johnson, Siddle, Harris, Lyon, Faulkner.  There has been much talk about George Bailey’s place in the Australian test team but, as any follower of the test team will attest, historically Cricket Australia like to keep winning teams together regardless of poor form so Bailey will tour.

That leaves three spots open for selection.  I have regularly written here about the need for selections to be based on first class (Sheffield Shield) rm and if that was the case those three spots (assuming that one batsman and two bowlers go as cover) should be filled by some of the following players:

  • Batsmen: Marcus North (593 runs, 98.33 average, 3 hundreds), Phil Hughes (549 runs, 61.00 average, 3 hundreds), Callum Ferguson (3 games, 289 runs, 72..25 average, 1 hundred).
  • Bowlers: Chadd Sayers (22 wickets, 28.04 average,), Luke Feldman (17 wickets, 24.58 average), Steve O’Keefe (24 wickets, 22.25 average), Michael Hogan (21 wickets, 23.66 average).

I am prepared to guarantee though that none of these names will appear in the squad of fifteen named today.  Alex Doolan will be the reserve batsman and the reserve bowlers will be Nathan Coulter-Nile and James Pattinson. I have written before on this blog about the need for players who are injured to be eased back into the game via first class cricket.  The NSP does not appear to agree with that approach given the manner in which they have managed the injuries of other first bowlers returning.  So that means that Pattinson, an excellent bowler I concede, will go on tour with out T20 and ODI cricket as preparation.  Alex Doolan appears to be the flavour of the month with the willow despite averaging 39.10 in first class cricket this summer and an overall average of 37.52.  I have no major cavil with Coulter-Nile’s selection.

Ordinarly I would be waiting with bated breath for the announcement of a squad for such an important tour.  Bizarrely, I am ambivalent this time around because of that feeling that we all know who the NSP will be selecting.  I hope I am wrong but know I am right.

Cricket: Prime Minister’s XI named … why are we rewarding T20 mercenaries?!

The National Selection Panel and the Prime Minister have named the Prime Minister’s XI to play England at Manuka Oval on January 14.

The full team is:

  • Brett Lee (Captain) NSW
  • Jackson Bird TAS
  • Ben Cutting QLD
  • Peter Handscomb (wk) VIC
  • Brad Hodge VIC
  • Chris Lynn QLD
  • Alister McDermott QLD
  • James Muirhead VIC
  • Luke Pomersbach QLD
  • Clive Rose TAS
  • Michael Spaseski ACT
  • Shane Devoy (12th man) ACT

The selections of Chris Lynn and Alister McDermott is particularly pleasing as they have been in excellent form across all forms of the game for the Queensland Bulls and Brisbane Heat.

The only question mark that I have is the inclusion of Brett Lee and Brad Hodge in this line up.  Surely there are two experienced players in the domestic set up who actually are more than T20 mercenaries who could have been selected.  The experienced Bollinger and Copeland have been in great form and could have been the additional bowler.  Marcus North is the form batsman of the Sheffield Shield and has was also in good form in the Ryobi Cup and could have been captain.

Australian ODI squad named: the usual suspects returned by the NSP whilst Queensland snubbed!

The National Selection Panel has named the following squad for the upcoming one day international series against England:

David Warner, Aaron Finch, Shane Watson, Shaun Marsh, Michael Clarke (capt), George Bailey (vice-capt), Brad Haddin (wk), Glenn Maxwell, James Faulkner, Mitchell Johnson, Nathan Coulter-Nile, James Pattinson, Clint McKay, Xavier Doherty

David Warner and Shaun Marsh return to the team that went to India before the home Ashes series as to does captain Michael Clarke. James Pattinson has been included in his ongoing return from injury.

There are some desperately unlucky players who have missed out on this team from that Indian tour: none more so that Philip Hughes and Adam Voges.

Statistics do not lie and both men had excellent 2013s years in the ODI side. Voges was 5th on the run scoring list for Australia in 2013 with 478 runs at 47.80. The decision to axe Hughes is even more unwarranted, in my opinion, given that he dominated the last series of ODIs at home with two centuries in five games and was Australia’s 3rd highest scorer with 660 runs at 36.66.

It must also be said that Ryobi Cup competition has again been ignored by the selectors as a selection tool. Queensland, the winners of the tournament, have not one player in the Australia squad. That is despite fielding the second highest run scorer of the competition in Usman Khawaja and 3 of the top 10 wicket takers in same with Ben Cutting looking particularly harshly done by given his additional work with the willow.

It is difficult to concede but seems to be true that the NSP is sending a message with this selection to the likes of Hughes, Khawaja, Voges and Cutting that they are not in the frame for the 2015 World Cup which is only 14 months away. It also must be said that the second message the NSP is giving is that the Ryobi Cup does not matter (unless you are David Warner) at the selection table. If it was otherwise than a player like C McKay, who had a shocking tour of India with 4 wickets at an average of 76.33 and an economy rate of 7.15, would have been dropped and any one of the following players selected:

  • S Abbott (16 wickets at 20.93)
  • J Hazlewood (12 wickets at 30.83
  • G Sandhu (11 wickets at 27.81)

As the Chairman of Selectors points out, we are only 14 months away from the World Cup and this series presented an opportunity to test players who might figure in that tournament. By returning to the “old faithful” in the likes of Marsh and McKay the NSP has missed an opportunity to both select players in better form and players of the future.

Is anyone really surprised?