Shumpty’s Punt: A Holiday Multi

Here is my long weekend sports multi for this Easter long weekend:

Leg 1: Hurricanes to cover the line (-3.5 points) against the Blues in Super Rugby.

Leg 2: Western Force to defeat the Rebels in Super Rugby.

Leg 3: Newcastle Knights to cover the line (-2.0 points) against the Brisbane Broncos in the NRL.

Leg 4: Sydney Roosters to cover the line (-7.5 points) against the Cronulla Sharks in the NRL.

Leg 5: Tottenham to defeat Fulham in the EPL.

Leg 6: Gold Coast Sun to defeat the Melbourne Demons by less than 40 points in the AFL.

Leg 7: Liverpool to defeat Norwich in the EPL.

This multi will pay around the $60 mark for every dollar invested.

As always:

  • Please gamble responsibly.
  • Whilst all care is taken with the tips on this blog, no responsibility is taken for losses.

Sport free weekend in Brisbane: a massive opportunity missed!

As we approach four days away from our respective places of work, thoughts obviously turn to just what to do over this break. If you are in Brisbane and you are a fan of any of the national sporting codes you are likely to be disappointed because none of said codes have any games scheduled for Brisbane (or the Gold Coast) this weekend.

That’s right, and I will repeat it, none of the NRL, AFL, A-league or Super Rugby have games scheduled this weekend in Brisbane or South East Queensland. I concede that I am ignoring the Brisbane Lions game scheduled for tonight but I am defining the weekend for this purpose as starting on Friday morning and ending on Monday night.

When I first realized this I thought to myself that I must have misread my sports diary. However, a further examination of the schedules of the teams in each code bore out that I had not made a mistake and there is to be no national code sport in South East Queensland this weekend. In the NRL the Titans are in Penrith and the Broncos in Newcastle. In the A-league the Roar have the week off. In the AFL the Lions game will be over before the weekend starts and the Suns are playing in Melbourne. In Super Rugby the Reds have a bye.

This is just nuts! Set aside for the moment my love sport and think about the economics of a decision by the codes not to play in South East Queensland this weekend. The Broncos and the Reds consistently procure crowds that double their southern counterparts. Both have massive membership bases and both are seeking to get more kids to their games. This weekend presented a massive opportunity for both or either to get more people through the turnstiles given the holidays on Friday and Monday and it being the end of school holidays. It is hard to quantify but I am sure that both the NRL and Super Rugby will have weeks this week where they really would have benefited from the crowd numbers a Brisbane game brings.

It makes absolutely no sense to me to play a Good Friday game in Newcastle where the crowd will be around 15,000 when the Broncos probably would have sold out Lang Park, or at least doubled that crowd number. The Reds have been consistently getting over 25,000 to games but this weekend they get nothing. I guess smarter people than me can see the method in this madness.

One final point: obviously this lack of play in the national codes in Brisbane presents an opportunity for their state based counterparts to really push their respective games. Have you seen, heard or been sent one advertisement for a QRL or Premier Rugby game this weekend? I know I haven’t and I am on mailing lists that I am sure that I would have received something from if any such campaign of seeking heightened exposure was run. This is similarly nuts and represents another lost opportunity for the codes in Queensland.

Of course, there is a ton of sport on TV this weekend and that is where I will do the bulk of my viewing. Still, I can only be left to lament a massive lost opportunity for the national codes this Easter long weekend.

Shumpty’s Punt: Horseracing and Sports Multi

It is the social club race day at my firm on the weekend and whilst I am not going (I prefer to punt alone) I have run my eye over the form for each race at Eagle Farm. I also have a sports multi that I am feeling very confident about.

Horse Racing (all Eagle Farm this weekend):

Race 1 Number 3 Playitstraight (e/w) (fixed price seems a bit short at the moment so go with the tote)

Race 2 Number 3 Write Cheek (win) ($4.00 fixed)

Race 3 Number 4 Borehole (e/w) ($7.00 / $2.40 fixed)

Race 4 Number 2 Essington (e/w) ($7.00 / $2.30 fixed)

Race 5 Number 8 Shazzle Pazzle (win) ($3.80 fixed)

Race 6 Number 3 Theft (win) ($5.00 fixed)

Race 7 Number 4 Prussian Heart (e/w) ($6.50 / $2.40 fixed)

Race 8 Number 7 Just A Perla (e/w) ($12.00 / $3.70 fixed)

Sports Multi:

Leg 1: Otago to cover the line (-7.5 points) against Manawatu in the ITM Cup ($1.90)

Leg 2: Melbourne Storm to cover the line (-8.0 points) against the Newcastle Knights in the NRL ($1.94)

Leg 3: In the Freemantle Dockers v Sydney Swans AFL semi final the total match score to be less than 157.5 points ($1.88)

Leg 4: San Francisco 49ers to cover the line (-10.0 points) against against the Indianapolis Colts in the NFL ($2.01)

This multi will pay $13.92 and I am investing $40.

As always:

· All care and no responsibility is taken with these tips.

· Please gamble responsibly.

· Prices are current as at 7am this morning via sportsbet.com.au

Have a great weekend!

Football Finals Month … Frankly I could not care less!

I have been asked a lot this week who I am following in the finals of the NRL and AFL and whether I was enjoying the finals so far. I will answer here as I have answered each enquiry:

The AFL season finished 3 weeks ago when the Bombers were punished by the AFL and the NRL season finished 2 weeks ago when the Raiders were knocked out so I really don’t care who wins the finals!

It has be claimed to me that that is a narrow minded view. Why is that so? Do people think that having supported a club all season (and in the case of both the Raiders and Bombers over 20 years) that all of sudden it is expected that I will pick another team to follow for the next 4 weeks?

I can not think of a more ridiculous suggestion frankly. To me it is simple: I support a team, it is not in the finals therefore I have no interest in the finals.

To everyone with teams in the finals: good luck to your respective teams and rest assured that I will not be jumping on your team’s bandwagon because to do so would be disrespectful, even if I was interested which I am not.

It is going to be a quiet September for me: a bit of rugby to watch and much expectation for the cricket season to come because the other football seasons are over. Here’s hoping that this time next year I have something to cheer about!

Shumpty’s Punt: weekend multi and racing

Another weekend and another massive amount of sport to enjoy. Here are this weeks tips:

Horse Racing:

Doomben Race 1: Number 2 Bribie (win) ($3.80)

Doomben Race 6: Number 3 Clangor (each way) ($8.00/$2.90)

Randwick Race 3: Number 4 Prettyfamous (win) ($4.00)

Caulfield Race 3: Number 11 Text’n Hurley (win) ($4.00)

Sport’s Multi:

Leg 1: Washington Nationals to cover the line against the New York Yankees (-1.5 runs) in the MLB. ($2.08)

Leg 2: Crusaders to cover the line against the Chiefs (-3.5 points) in Super Rugby. ($1.92)

Leg 3: Canberra Raiders to cover the line against the St George Dragons (-1.5 points) in the NRL. ($1.92)

Leg 4: Fremantle Dockers to defeat the Adelaide Crows by 1-39 points in the AFL. ($1.95)

Leg 5: Brumbies to cover the line against the Bulls (+8.5 points) in Super Rugby. ($1.92)

This multi will pay $28.70 for ever dollar invested and I have invested $25.

As always: please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.

Shumpty’s Punt: the weekend multi and a few horses

A very unsuccessful weekend on the punt with only one collect however I have run the ruler over the form lines again this weekend and have come up with another 4 leg multi that I think is looking the goods as well as four bets on the horses for the weekend. As always: please bet responsibly and only gamble what you can afford to spend. All odds are courtsey of sportsbet.com.au.

Horse Racing:

Flemington Race 7: Number 1 Broken (each way) ($8.50/$2.70)

Rosehill Race 6: Number 1 Mic Mac (win) ($5.50)

Eagle Farm Race 3: Number 1 Double Impact (each way) ($7.00/2.15)

Eagle Farm Race 7: Number 5 Shafeeq (each way) ($5.00/$1.90)

Sports Multi:

Leg 1: Detriot Tigers to defeat the Kansas City Royals in the MLB ($1.70)

Leg 2: Collingwood to defeat the Gold Coast Suns by 40 or more points in the AFL ($2.40)

Leg 3: Canberra Raiders to defeat the Parramatta Eels by more than 13 points in the NRL ($1.45)

Leg 4: Brumbies to defeat the Cheetahs covering the line (-8.5 points) in the Super Rugby ($1.92)

This multi will return $11.35 for every dollar expended.

Have a great weekend watching the plethora of sport that is on offer. Enjoy!