Shumpty’s Punt: some Saturday bets

It has been a bit of a barren spell on the punt on this blog and frankly that has been a combination of not having much spare time to do the form and really think about my bets and not being able to pick my nose when it comes to a winner.

This week (and particularly last night as I watch the highlights of today’s play at the Adelaide Oval) I have had more of a chance to think about some bets for this week.

Here is where I think there might be some winners over the rest of the weekend and where I will be investing my hard earned cash.

Racing

Eagle Farm:

Best win bet:                      Race 2 Number 4 Jugahlation

Best each way bet:            Race 6 Number 16 Soft Angel

Sydney:

Best bet:                               Race 7 Number 11 Our Design

Sports 

I will be looking at a small multi this weekend made up of the 4 legs (all odds are from sportsbet.com.au and are as at the time of writing):

Leg 1: Everton to defeat Norwich at home in the EPL ($1.44)

Leg 2: Stoke to defeat Fulham at home in the EPL ($2.20)

Leg 3: Tennessee Titans to cover the line (-3.5) against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL ($1.90)

Leg 4: Denver Broncos to cover the line (-10.0) against the Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL ($1.90)

These four legs combined will pay a tidy $11.44.  Here’s hoping come Monday morning (after the NFL games complete) followers are laughing their way to the bank.

Good luck and good punting and, as always, please gamble responsibly.

The 1st Tuesday in November: where my money will be

I have read a bit on Twitter this week that “everyone’s an expert this time of year”. I do not profess to be an expert and I have no expectation that anyone will follow my tips for the Melbourne Cup but I thought, in the interests of being able to gloat after the event if my bets come off, I would post my selections for the “race that stops the nation”.

So here is how I will be spending my hard earned cash on the Melbourne Cup:

Best bet: Red Cadeaux ($9 on Sportsbet)

Best roughie: Cavalryman ($31 on Sportsbet having been smashed at its opening price of $51).

Boxed first 4: 1, 2, 4, 7, 8, 10, 15, 17 ($168 will get you 10% of the first 4 dividend).

Good luck and good punting to everyone. Hope you have a great day!

Shumpty

Sneaky Tuesday Sportsbet

Just a short note this morning to tip you into a little sportbet that I think is easy money for punters today. I am tipping the San Francisco Giants to beat the St Louis Cardinals in game 7 of the NLCS in San Francisco this morning. They have all the momentum after winning the last two games of the series to stay alive in this best of 7 championship and with their ace Matt Cain returning after a loss in game three I expect them to get the job done. The fact is that Cain does not loose two games in a row often.

Second leg this morning sees the Chicago Bears cover the lines against the Detroit Lions in NFL Monday night football. This is an NFC North battle between the leading Bears and the cellar dwelling Lions. The Bears possess a mix of league leading defence and the confidence of being on a 3 game winning streak so I don’t expect them to be bested here.

Put together this bet will pay $3.30ish. Good luck if you get on.

Shumpty’s Punt: the weekend multi 24/08/12

It is that time of the week again when minds turn to the sport one is going to be watching the weekend. With another weekend packed with sports to watch the next question that floats into the mind is what ought one bet on. I have come up with a six leg multi that I like the chances of for punters. Last week’s multi was a disaster right from the first leg so I hope this week’s version serves punters better.

I am a bit short of time this week so will dispense with the commentary around my selections and jump straight to it. Before I do though a shout out for my Rugby Championship preview on pinkrugby.com. If you want to be in the know about all things rugby it is hard to go past this excellent site.

All prices are as at the time of writing from sportsbet.com.au.

So the multi for this week is as follows:

Leg 1: Brisbane Lions to defeat the Port Adelaide Power at home in the AFL ($1.70)

Leg 2: New Zealand All Blacks to cover the line (-14.5) against the Australian Wallabies in the Rugby Championship ($1.92)

Leg 3: North Queensland Cowboys to cover the line (-8.5) against the Newcastle Knights in the NRL ($1.87)

Leg 4: Swansea to defeat West Ham United in the English Premier League ($2.10)

Leg 5: Chelsea to defeat Newcastle United in the English Premier League ($1.53)

Leg 6: South Africa Springboks to cover the line (-9.5) against the Argentina Pumas in the Rugby Championship ($1.92)

This multi will pay $37.65 for each dollar invested. As always: good luck and good punting to all!

Shumpty

Shumpty’s Punt: back after a hiatus!

After a self-imposed break from punting following a run of ordinary results, I have decided to wade back into punting this weekend and have come up with a weekend multibet that I am particularly keen on this week.

This weekend is again replete with sports viewing for all and sundry, highlighted by the first round of the inaugural Rugby Championship in the Southern Hemisphere and the start of the English Premier League.  If you are interested, my preview of the weekend’s action in the Rugby Championship is here (http://pinkrugby.com/2012/rugby-championship-predictions-2012-rd-1).

This multibet is made up this week of five legs as follows:

Leg 1: Melbourne Storm to cover the line against the Brisbane Broncos (-4.0 points, $1.96)

The Broncos are in terrible form at the moment and despite having the home ground advantage in this Friday night football fixture I can not see them besting a Storm outfit who have awoken from their post State of Origin slumber in recent weeks.

Leg 2: New Zealand All Blacks to cover the line against the Australian Wallabies (-5.5 points, $1.92) 

As I point out in my preview, the heart says the Wallabies but the head says the All Blacks in this one.  I do not think the Wallabies have picked a team that can score enough points to best the All Blacks and with the class that they have in the back line I think the All Blacks might just run away with this one.

Leg 3: Canberra Raiders to cover the line against the Sydney Roosters (-6.5 points, $1.92)

The Raiders have been very difficult to pick in recent weeks as they have ebbed and flowed between looking like world beaters and wooden spooners.  That said in the last couple of weeks they have shown some more consistency and have found form at the right time of season.  The Roosters are out of the running and will not be looking forward to the trip down to the nations capital for this fixture.  I expect the Raiders to win this game and win it well.

Leg 4: Liverpool to beat West Bromich Albion ($1.91)

It is always tough to tip in the first week of the EPL but I just have a feeling that Liverpool will be primed for this game after their ordinary start to last year and think they are well placed to get the 3 points away at West Bromich.

Leg 5: South African Springboks to cover the line against the Argentine Pumas (-13.5 points, $1.92)

The Pumas join the Rugby Championship and will be primed for this historic first game for them at Newlands Stadium.  That will not be enough though for them to best a Springbok line up that is full of class across the field.  I expect them to outmuscle the Pumas in the forward and unleash their backline to win this game and to win it well.

This multibet will return $26.50 for each dollar invested.  Good luck and good punting to all and have a great weekend!

Shumpty

Shumpty’s Punt 27/7/12

Well last week was a bust and this week I have been absolutely flat out with work so I do not have time to provide much commentary on this week’s multi. Nonetheless I have think I have come up with a six legger this week that, if it gets up, will return punters $20.83 for every dollar invested.

The legs are:

1. The Crusaders to be defeat the Chiefs in the Super 15 @ $1.58

2. The Titans to cover the line against the Roosters (-2.5 points) in the NRL @ $1.87

3. Also in the NRL the Sea Eagles to defeat the NZ Warriors @ $1.48

4. In the AFL, I tip the Bombers to bounce back this week and therefore to cover the line (+33.5 points) against the Hawks @ $1.92

5. In Saturday morning’s (Aus time) MLB game from Yankee Stadium the Yankees to defeat the Red Sox @ $1.58

6. The final leg is again in the Formula 1 and I am picking Mark Webber to make the top 6 in Hungary @ $1.57

I reckon the proverbial hoof will be on the till with this one and wish you all the best of luck.

Hopefully work will roll off a bit next week and usual blogging form will resume.

Have a great weekend everyone!

Shumpty