Shumpty’s Punt: RBC Heritage Open (Golf)

After an epic US Masters tournament, attention returns to the PGA Tour and the RBC Heritage Open at the Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina.

There are some excellent players backing up this week from the Masters and the best of them, in my view, is Jim Furyk. At $21 for the win and $5.25 to finish in the top 5 he clearly has the game to play a part in the finish of this one at some value. He loves the Harbour Town layout having secured a win and two runners-up results in the past.

My money will be on the bloke with the strangest swing and ball flight in the modern game to have a great result for punters here.

As always:
•Please gamble responsibly.
•Whilst all care is taken with the tips on this blog, no responsibility is taken for losses.

Shumpty’s Punt: A Holiday Multi

Here is my long weekend sports multi for this Easter long weekend:

Leg 1: Hurricanes to cover the line (-3.5 points) against the Blues in Super Rugby.

Leg 2: Western Force to defeat the Rebels in Super Rugby.

Leg 3: Newcastle Knights to cover the line (-2.0 points) against the Brisbane Broncos in the NRL.

Leg 4: Sydney Roosters to cover the line (-7.5 points) against the Cronulla Sharks in the NRL.

Leg 5: Tottenham to defeat Fulham in the EPL.

Leg 6: Gold Coast Sun to defeat the Melbourne Demons by less than 40 points in the AFL.

Leg 7: Liverpool to defeat Norwich in the EPL.

This multi will pay around the $60 mark for every dollar invested.

As always:

  • Please gamble responsibly.
  • Whilst all care is taken with the tips on this blog, no responsibility is taken for losses.

Sport free weekend in Brisbane: a massive opportunity missed!

As we approach four days away from our respective places of work, thoughts obviously turn to just what to do over this break. If you are in Brisbane and you are a fan of any of the national sporting codes you are likely to be disappointed because none of said codes have any games scheduled for Brisbane (or the Gold Coast) this weekend.

That’s right, and I will repeat it, none of the NRL, AFL, A-league or Super Rugby have games scheduled this weekend in Brisbane or South East Queensland. I concede that I am ignoring the Brisbane Lions game scheduled for tonight but I am defining the weekend for this purpose as starting on Friday morning and ending on Monday night.

When I first realized this I thought to myself that I must have misread my sports diary. However, a further examination of the schedules of the teams in each code bore out that I had not made a mistake and there is to be no national code sport in South East Queensland this weekend. In the NRL the Titans are in Penrith and the Broncos in Newcastle. In the A-league the Roar have the week off. In the AFL the Lions game will be over before the weekend starts and the Suns are playing in Melbourne. In Super Rugby the Reds have a bye.

This is just nuts! Set aside for the moment my love sport and think about the economics of a decision by the codes not to play in South East Queensland this weekend. The Broncos and the Reds consistently procure crowds that double their southern counterparts. Both have massive membership bases and both are seeking to get more kids to their games. This weekend presented a massive opportunity for both or either to get more people through the turnstiles given the holidays on Friday and Monday and it being the end of school holidays. It is hard to quantify but I am sure that both the NRL and Super Rugby will have weeks this week where they really would have benefited from the crowd numbers a Brisbane game brings.

It makes absolutely no sense to me to play a Good Friday game in Newcastle where the crowd will be around 15,000 when the Broncos probably would have sold out Lang Park, or at least doubled that crowd number. The Reds have been consistently getting over 25,000 to games but this weekend they get nothing. I guess smarter people than me can see the method in this madness.

One final point: obviously this lack of play in the national codes in Brisbane presents an opportunity for their state based counterparts to really push their respective games. Have you seen, heard or been sent one advertisement for a QRL or Premier Rugby game this weekend? I know I haven’t and I am on mailing lists that I am sure that I would have received something from if any such campaign of seeking heightened exposure was run. This is similarly nuts and represents another lost opportunity for the codes in Queensland.

Of course, there is a ton of sport on TV this weekend and that is where I will do the bulk of my viewing. Still, I can only be left to lament a massive lost opportunity for the national codes this Easter long weekend.

In defence of Barry O’Farrell: does the punishment fit the crime?

I have been watching the saga of Barry O’Farrell’s resignation from the premiership of New South Wales with bemusement. Is it just me or does the punishment that he had imposed on himself (resignation from the highest office in the state) fit the crime (a, seemingly, genuine error in memory on oath).

Before exploring that more, let me be clear here:

1. I am a staunch Labor supporter. In fact I have come back to the Labor party off the back of the policies of the current regime in power in Canberra having been lost to the party during the Julia v Kevin fiasco.

2. I would like to see nothing more than a Labor Premier in every state in the land as well as being Prime Minister.

Those things being said: I am just bothered by the natural justice, or more to the point the lack thereof, in the resignation of O’Farrell.

If one assumes that there is no nefarious purpose that sits behind the resignation and, similarly, that there is not further evidence of something nefarious to come, all that happened is a genuine lapse in memory.

O’Farrell was required to give evidence to the best of his knowledge and belief: which, originally, it would appear that he did. He just didn’t remember the receipt of the bottle of wine or the thank you note. Witnesses in any court proceeding give evidence on oath but that evidence can only be as good as their memory can’t it? In any ordinary proceeding what would have happened would have been the recall of the witness to clarify the evidence: nothing more and nothing less.

We are not talking about a case of perjury here. Similarly we are not talking about a witness intentionally misleading the Court. We are talking about evidence given on oath to the best of the knowledge and belief of the witness: nothing more and nothing less. Is the resignation then of O’Farrell not more than a bit heavy handed as a penalty, self imposed or otherwise?

I fully appreciate that this is a step that he has taken himself but that he felt that this was his only recourse is troubling. We, as citizens, all want a corruption free body politic and bodies like ICAC are there to investigate corruption and police it. Do we though, as citizens, want our politicians to feel like they have to resign because they forgot about a gift, among no doubt thousands of gifts, received 36 months ago? That is not what ICAC (or the other anti-corruption bodies) were set up for.

Now I concede that there were questions to be asked about O’Farrell’s relationship with Australian Water Holdings but nothing about the receipt of a bottle of wine or forgetting about it leads to a conclusion that O’Farrell is corrupt.

I am saddened that Barry O’Farrell felt there was no other option other than to resign. I think that that decision was plainly an overreaction, no doubt brought about by the likely response to his memory loss by the tabloid media. It does nothing to add to the confidence of the public in our public officials though because the punishment plainly does not fit the crime.