Shumpty’s Punt: Best Bet

The Oklahoma City Thunder (19-4) are the hottest team in the NBA at the moment and travel to Denver seeking to extend their current winning streak to seven games and to win its fifteenth game of sixteen. In their last fifteen games they have scored 100 or more points in eleven of those games whilst restraining their opponents to less to than 100 points in ten of the fifteen games. The Nuggets (14-9) have won seven of their last eight games at home and have an excellent record against the Thunder having won nine of the last eleven games between the two teams.

This game, for me, comes down to the form of the stars from Oklahoma City: Durant and Westbrook. Durant leads the NBA in scoring with 28.5 points per game and Westbrook has been creating opportunities in attack with steals of which he has a team leading 40. I think they will have too much offensive power for the Nuggets and will cover the line of -3.0 points.

Bet: Oklahoma City Thunder to cover the line (-3.0 points) against the Denver Nuggets in the NBA.

The Ashes: The Urn is Returning!!! Time for some credit where it is due!

I have been a fan of cricket since as long as I can remember. I have loved the game of cricket since the first time I picked up a Symonds Tusker from the club under 12 kit bag as a 9 year old and strode out to take guard for Booval Cricket Club at Silkstone State School. In my now 27 years of loving this wonderful game I have bled the maroon of the Queensland Bulls and I have bled the green of the Australian baggy green as those teams have gone into battle. It would be fair to say that I can not remember a series of cricket nor a win of a series as this Ashes series just won by Australia that has effected me as much as this one has. I am not ashamed at all to admit that I had watery eyes after the final wicket was taken.

I have been pondering why this is and have come to a pretty simple answer: I hate losing and, more to the point, I hate losing to England. Losing to England to me is just as bad as losing, as a Queenslander, to New South Wales in State of Origin (or anything else for that matter).

Off the back of the English regaining the Ashes 2-1 in 2009, they absolutely smashed Australia on our own turf in 2010/11 (the result in Perth was an aberation) and then just this winter gone Australia was beaten without finding a way to win again in England. And I have hated every minute of it!

Coming into this series I was hopeful for a positive result and yet dismayed at what I saw was a poor preparation from the Australian team. I tipped England to win the Ashes which was my head leading me astray when my heart was screaming “WE CAN WIN THIS!” and “COME ON YOU BIG BASTARD, GET BEHIND YOUR TEAM!”. I was wrong. Scratch that: I was spectacularly wrong and win it Australia has.

This series win is a triumph for many. Whilst there are many who get the obvious plaudits, the names Johnson, Warner and Clarke the headliners (don’t get me wrong: they have been brilliant but I want to focus elsewhere), here are the players / coaches I most happy for and, to me, deserve as big, if not bigger, coronations that usual suspects because of the roll that they have played in the dismantling of England and their domination of their direct opponent:

Nathan Lyon

I am an unabashed Nathan Lyon fan. I was not always but I was swayed both by looking at his numbers and by the injustice of the manner with which those in power (Invers and Howard) treated him, particularly in England this winter. It is easy to forget that he was not included in the team for the first two tests of the English winter series in favour of a 19 year old who had played only 3 first class games. He has been a vital part of Australia’s bowling attack this series: taking a wicket at least in every innings Australia has bowled and, more particularly, taking what could be described as “big wickets” when his team needed them most. The ultimate team man and the singer of Australia’s victory song he has gone from a forgotten man to a vital cog in the bowling attack that returned the Ashes. He has been easily the better of the two principal spinners: stats don’t lie and with Swann averaging 80 runs per wicket compared to Lyon’s 31.40 is enough said.

Brad Haddin

Converse to my position on Nathan Lyon, I have taken a long time to warm to Brad Haddin and his return to the test team for the series in England. I have strongly advocated for the elevation of Chris Hartley to the team. That statement out of the way: there can be no denying that Brad Haddin has been Australia’s player of the series so far. Vital runs just about every time he has batted has been combined with a display of wicketkeeping that has had even the harshest of judges of wicketkeepers (other wicketkeepers including I Healy) waxing lyrical about his work behind the stumps. Again, the comparison between his form and that of his direct competitor, Matt Prior, is an easy one and can be pin pointed as one of the principal reasons Australia is leading this series 3-0. Simply put Prior is in the worst form of his career with both the bat and the gloves whilst Haddin could now, hypothetically, play into his 40s should he wish to.

Craig McDermott

Much of the applause for Australia’s performance, from me included, has gone to Darren Lehmann. Deserving of just as much as credit for the current score line is the bowling coach, Craig McDermott. The architect of the bowling plans that have been so successful (one assumes) and the man who has gotten inside the mind of Mitchell Johnson deserves great credit for effect the bowlers from Australia have had on shaping this series. In Brisbane, the short pitched barrage rocked the English back on their heels whilst the advocation of a fuller length in Perth reaped excellent results epitomised by by Ryan Harris’ delivery to bowl the English captain with the first ball of the English second innings. David Saker, conversely for the English and surprisingly given his years in the Sheffield Shield competition, has not been able to get the best out his bowlers and they have failed to execute on any of the plans he would have put in place at the start of the tour.

I am sure there are others who deserve much praise for their roles in shaping this Australian team and this series however these are the three men for me who deserve a massive amount of kudos and whose results in this series have given me the most pleasure.

This series has renewed my formerly flagging love of the game that had been battered by the idiocy of some of the decision making at the top of the ICC and CA and the insurrection into the game that has been T20 cricket. I can not wait now until the Boxing Day for the start of the fourth test of this series. More particularly I can not wait to be in Sydney for the handing over the Urn at the end of the fifth test (I love it when a plan comes to together). That said: there is now a nine day break in hostilities and it is time for Australian players, coaches and fans to enjoy the return of the Urn. I know I will!

The Year in Review: Number 5 … Sportspeople and Citizenship

The saga of Fawad Ahmed’s availability to play for Australia got my hackles up in advance of the winter Ashes series. My blog on the topic was the fifth most viewed post here this year.

Here is a link to this post: https://shumpty77.com/2013/05/30/sportspeople-and-citizenship-does-bowling-a-wrong-un-make-you-worthy-of-the-fast-track/

I maintain my view that it is an absolute travesty that a cricket player is entitled to special treatment under the laws of Australia whilst other immigrants with special skills (or no special skills at all for that matter) are finding it more and more difficult to get into our borders.

Cricket: Shillingford, Samuels and 15 degrees

The International Cricket Council has announced that West Indian off spinner Shane Shillingford has been suspended from bowling in international cricket as a result of failing a biomechanical test after a report made last month during a test match in Mumbai against India. The testing found that his standard and quicker deliveries both exhibited an elbow extension in his bowling action that exceeded the 15 degree level of tolerance allowed under the ICC regulations.

This is the second time Shillingford has been banned from bowling, having been reported and failed a biomechanical test in November 2010. He resumed bowling after remedial work in June 2011.

Marlon Samuels was reported at the same time as Shillingford and was found to have a suspect action when bowling his faster ball only and thus he is now restrained from bowling that faster ball in international cricket. He too has been banned from bowling before by the ICC having been reported in February 2008 and resumed bowling in September 2011.

There are two astonishing aspects to this case:

1. Shillingford has been allowed to play in the first two tests of the current West Indian series in New Zealand. He played a significant role in the first test match in reducing the New Zealanders to 4/79 chasing 112 to win. Whilst that match ended in a draw, what would have been the position now if he have managed to bowl the West Indies to victory? That victory would be tainted by the use of a bowler with a banned action and, arguably, if it had have happened, the New Zealanders would have every reason to feel very hardly done by. Surely this situation, being a player being allowed to play in test matches whilst under investigation, must be looked at. I am all for people being innocent until proven guilty but where a player has the ability to materially effect the course of a test match I am of the view that the player must be stood down pending the completion of the investigation rather than being allowed to blithely play on.

2. Samuels’ ban is only related to his faster ball and is only in international cricket. It was obvious to all who watched him in domestic T20 competition this year that his elbow was past the 15 degree limitation and yet neither the IPL or Big Bash League administrators did anything to stop him from bowler. It is seems incongruous to allow a bowler to keep bowling despite one of his two delivery types having been found in breach of the laws. The ICC needs to look closely at this result and the cricket community more broadly needs to look at the imposition of an ICC penalty applying across all domestic cricket as well.

I feel sorry for any player found to have fallen foul of the ICC’s regulations when it comes to the angle of their bowling arm because there are few more difficult stigma’s to shake in cricket than being called a chucker. Nonetheless, the fact that players under investigation and one found in breach continues to play despite that finding makes a mockery of the rules and the ICC’s enforcement of them.

The Ashes: is today the day we get back the urn?

I tweeted this morning that I was a little trepidatious about today’s play at the WACA ground. My worries are linked principally to the fact that 250 runs in 90 overs is not a massive ask. Many have lambasted my view and seem convinced that an Australian win today will arise simply if Australia shows up.

I remain worried about today’s play for a number of reasons:

1. I hate complacency and am bothered by the perception that this is going to be an easy day of cricket.

2. Matt Prior is a quality batsman and only 7 months ago batted 4 and a half hours to save a test against New Zealand in trying conditions. Form is temporary but class is permanent so sooner or later he is going to come good.

3. The bouncer / verbal approach of the Australians that has worked so far is becoming less and less of a shock for the Englishmen as evidence by Johnson’s reducing returns in this game. Reliance on it again today will mean less balls for the Poms to play which is to their advantage rather than ours.

Don’t get me wrong: I am desperate for an Australian win and think it is a short price favourite. Declaring it as a certainty as the broadcaster and most of the press have done is a dangerous exercise though.

Play begins in 15 mins: as I said this morning … I will not be comfortable until the Prior / Stokes partnership is broken.

Bring on day 5!

Shumpty’s Punt: Best Bet 17/12/13

The St Louis Blues travel to Ottawa to take on the Senators in the NHL today in would should be an entertaining game between two of the more enterprising teams in the league. The Blues (22-6-3) possess an offence that ranks among the best in hockey this year with 3.45 goals per game. They have scored at least two goals in all but one game this season. The Senators (13-15-6) welcome back defenseman Jared Cowen who was suspended for the last two games. They missed him on Saturday during a 5-2 loss to Los Angeles where they fell behind 3-0 in the first 12 minutes of the game.

All in all, I think the Blues will have too much scoring power for the Senators in this game and will cover the line of -1.5 goals.

Best Bet: St Louis Blues to cover the line against the Ottawa Senators in the NHL.
Odds: $3.30 (courtesy of sportingbet.com.au)

As always, good luck and good punting!