“Happen to things, don’t let things happen to you.” Stephen Covey
Monthly Archives: October 2014
Forensic Friday: The Sherlock Holmes Factor
Anyone who knows me will know that I am an avid reader of Sir Arthur Conan Doyle’s series of Sherlock Holmes novels. I read them, conservatively, three or four times a year from cover to cover.
I have had cause to read the complete collection of Holmes novels again over the last couple of weeks and was struck by how some of the underlying tenets of Holmes’ approach to investigating apply to those undertaking a forensic exercise or investigation. You will recall that in my first “Forensic Friday” post that I defined the task of a forensic accountant to be the answering of how, where, what, why and who questions (https://shumpty77.com/2014/08/15/forensic-friday-what-is-forensic-accounting/).
An examination of those questions will involve, necessarily the probing of the factual matrix surrounding the matter in question. It is here that Sherlock Holmes provides a significant guide to budding forensic accountants in the following quotes:
‘There is nothing like first-hand evidence.’
(from “A Study in Scarlett”)
‘It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts.’
(from “A Scandal in Bohemia”)
“Data! Data! Data!” he cried impatiently. “I can’t make bricks without clay.”
(from “The Adventure of the Copper Beeches”)
These quotes combine to form what I call the “Sherlock Holmes Factor” that should pervade all forensic inquiries. It is simply that one should never draw conclusions before one has received and reviewed all of the data relevant to the investigation. It is a very easy trap to fall into, in my experience, to commence an investigation with a prejudged position in mind because of what one has been briefed with at the start of the investigation.
Going in with a theory in mind as to what the outcome of the investigation might be will necessary direct your mind to what you are looking for and the questions that you ask. The danger, obviously, is that you might miss something because you already have your “blinkers” on. Applying the Sherlock Holmes Factor to forensic enquiries reduces this danger.
Quote of the Day
“Being busy does not always mean real work. The object of all work is production or accomplishment and to either of these ends there must be forethought, system, planning, intelligence, and honest purpose, as well as perspiration. Seeming to do is not doing.” Thomas A. Edison
Quote of the Day
“Should you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.” Warren Buffett
Shumpty’s Punt: MLB Post Season (AL Wildcard Playoff)
After 162 games, Major League Baseball is now into the post season which kicks off in Kansas City for the American League Wild Card Playoff between the Kansas City Royals and the Oakland Athletics. This should be a great playoff with two pitching aces, Shields and Lester, on the mound.
I am backing the Royals in this playoff: it is has been 23 years since they have been to the post season and, playing at home, will ride a massive wave of support.
Bet: Kansas City Royals to defeat the Oakland Athletics paying $1.91 (on ladbrokes.com.au at the time of writing).
As always:
- Please gamble responsibly.
- All care is taken with these tips however no responsibility vests for losses incurred.
Quote of the Day
“When you waste a moment, you have killed it in a sense, squandering an irreplaceable opportunity. But when you use the moment properly, filling it with purpose and productivity, it lives on forever.” Menachem Mendel Schneerson