Shumpty’s Punt: multi plus horse racing

Another weekend means another festivus of sports and punting. This weekend I have a four leg multi that I am particularly keen on as well as a couple of horses that I think have the potential to run well. As always: gamble responsibly, whilst I take all care with these tips I take no responsibility if they are unsuccessful and prices are accurate from Sportsbet.com.au at the time of posting.

Horse Racing

Brisbane Race 3 Number 5 Thefifthole (each way) ($6.50 / $2.30)

Melbourne Race 6 Number 9 Happy Galaxy (win) ($3.50)

Sydney Race 2 Number 4 Short Shift (win) ($2.10)

Sports Multi

Leg 1: Chiefs to cover the line (-6.5 points) against the Blues in Super Rugby at $1.92

Leg 2: Reds to cover the line (+2.5 points) against the Waratahs in Super Rugby at $1.92

Leg 3: Essendon to defeat the Western Bulloggs by 40 or more points in the AFL at $1.86

Leg 4: Manly to cover the line (-7.5 points) against North Queensland in NRL at $1.90

This multi will return $13.02 for every dollar invested and in the interests of full disclosure I have wagered $25 on this multi.

Good luck and good punting everyone! Bring on the sport!

The Ashes: Day 2 reflections

What an amazing first two sessions of cricket overnight at Trent Bridge. I held on to watch the Starc hatrick ball and then shuffled my way to the land of nod. The remainder of the post tea session seems to have seen the way many expect this game return to type with England grinding Australia down. Still it was a day for fans of cricke to savior. Here are my 5 talking points:

Agar the Magnificent

What an effort from A Agar! OK so he is clearly not a number 11 batsman but under pressure in one’s first test that was a mighty display from this young man. Let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves though: he was picked to bowl for Australia and has a massive job to do now

Hughes: the effective crab

Phil Hughes produced the innings many of us have been waiting for: he was patient and assured when all around him was in the eye of a cyclone of indecision. When Agar came to the crease he assessed his ability and went with him. That said, Chanderpaul aside, is there a more bespoke method in the whole of cricket?

Finn: the great provider

I have followed many English cricket fans in my couple of years on twitter and blogging and the consensus regularly is that he will take wickets for you but he can be mightily expensive. Last night’s display was woeful and set the tone for Australia’s comeback. Absent a bag of wickets in the 4th inning that wretched 4 over spell may see him out for the next test.

DRS: again in the news

Whether the decisions (Agar’s stumping and Trott’s LBW) were right or wrong the system is flawed because it is still capable of 100% accuracy. You will never convince me that there is a better system than letter the umpires make the decisions on the field.

Australia’s other batting: what happened to leaving the ball?

Australia’s dismissals largely have a similarity about them that is concerning: we seem to have lost the ability to leave the ball outside off stump. This must be rectified because Jimmy Anderson is just going to destroy us with swing if we do not get this right!

All in all: another day replete with Ashes moments. What will day 3 bring?

The Ashes: the obsession will never wane!

I have been asked a couple of times over the last couple of days why I was so excited about the Ashes kicking off and why I was more than happy to spend hours that I would normally be sleeping with my eyes glued to my TV screen watching a game of cricket. It begs the question: what is it about the Ashes that so obsesses the populus of two countries and leaves, depending on the part of the world you are in, the bulk of the population with blood shot eyes and ordering an extra shot of coffee in the morning.

There are some obvious historical aspects to this given that the two combatants used to be one and, indeed, hail from the same kingdom as well as the class war of the convict against the potentate in the struggle of supremacy both of which combine into a genetic inability to allow one team best the other in anything let alone cricket. There is the fact that the Ashes is a celebration of the very commencement of test match cricket; albeit, the burning of the bail occurred after such commencement of hostilities (indeed some 9 tests after the first 1877 in 1882).

An aside here for those that do not know the story: the nomenclature “the Ashes” for the series of test cricket matches came from an obituary published on 2 September 1882 in the Sporting Times that read:

In Affectionate Remembrance of ENGLISH CRICKET, which died at the Oval on 29th AUGUST 1882, Deeply lamented by a large circle of sorrowing friends and acquaintances R.I.P. N.B.—The body will be cremated and the ashes taken to Australia.

On the next tour, the English captain, Ivo Bligh promised that he would regain “the Ashes” referred to in the Sporting Time Obituary and indeed he was presented with an urn encasing the ashes of an old bail when England won the test series on that tour.

Of course there are all of the famous series’ that we have read about and seen highlights of which captivate the mind and enhance the appreciation one has for the historical fervour for which this contest above all others between these two countries stands out: Warwick Armstrongs 1921 tourists who dominated England and all other comers, Jardine’s Bodyline theorem and its execution by Larwood and Voce in 1934, Don Bradman’s Invincibles in 1948, the mastery of Jim Laker in 1956, Lillee and Thompson scaring the lives out of most Englishmen in 1974-5 only for MC Cowdrey to come out of retirement and face them and, of course, the Centenary Test in 1977. It is the remembrance of these series, and others, that pique the minds of cricket fans from England and Australia and are part of the fabric of the obsession that is the Ashes.

All of that said though, one obsession with any sport is an inherently personal journey. So then: where did it all start for me? Well I have been a cricket tragic for as long I can remember. I was not much of a player but I read everything I could find about the game. It would be fair to say that my obsession was built around reading about those tours outlined above. However, I can still remember vividly the moment that the Ashes became THE series for me: 1989. Before I launch into what happened in 1989, you have to remember that I grew up in a period before pay television and 20/20 cricket where test match cricket had no substitute and the only time you got to see any cricket your team played on an overseas tour was in a 90 second grab on the TV sports news or when 60 Minutes decided to cause trouble in Pakistan that time. The exception was the Ashes, albeit you did not see it on your TV you heard it on ABC radio.

And that is where my obsession for the Ashes, and I confess cricket, grew: listening to the descriptions of the 1989 Ashes tour. I remember I was allowed to listen to the cricket until I fell asleep or until the morning session was completed (fair play: I was 11 afterall). The fact that I would quite often get to the luncheon break was not lost on my parents and they became accustomed to my immediate need upon awaking to find out the score: during the winter of 1989 there was no talking at the Humphreys family breakfast table until the sports news had been read. The fact is: I got to listen to some pretty epic sessions of play in England during that winter in my bedroom in Ipswich none more so that one M Taylor bringing up his maiden hundred in the early moments of day 2 of the first test at Headingly and listening on the first and second mornings of fifth test as Taylor and Marsh started and continued their epic partnership. I fell in love with the game then and there and my obsession about the Ashes was firmly entrenched from that moment.

That passion for this series has only grown as the years have rolled on. How could one not be enamoured by a series that has given us moments like: all of the bowling of the great Merv Hughes in 1993 (ignore Warne mania for a moment and check out the work of Merv in this series: right out of the top drawer), Steve Waugh’s dual hundreds at Old Trafford in 1997, Hatricks from Warne and Gough, Flintoff and Lee at the end of the second test in 2005 at Edgbaston and the miracle of Adelaide in 2006.

I have been privileged to witness the first day of consecutive Ashes’ series in Australia in 1998, 2002, 2006 and 2010. Those days always started with the dawn procession to the members gate to get a good starting “alley” for the run to the seats when the gates opened in the members at 9am and gave me moments like Waugh and Healy’s fight back in 1998, the murmur that went around the crowd when it was announced that Hussian had won the toss and would bowl, the Harmison ball and Siddle’s hatrick. I maintain and will always maintain that the roar I was a part of when Siddle got that third wicket was the loudest I have ever heard at an any sporting event. That includes: an NRL grand final, multiple State of Origins, a World Cup (Rugby) final and Hockey and Basketball games in the US to name but a few of the live sporting events I have witnessed.

Those events aside, the totality of those days at the cricket represented everything I love about the Ashes and the game. The cricket was hard fought and the fans in full voice BUT more to the point the fans, to a metaphorical man were entranced in the contest and the energy in the ground was palpable.

As I sat up last night waiting for the start of play I again felt the excitement and expectation and as play kicked off I was again entranced by the contest. It is a combination of the history and my personal experiences that have built my obsession and it is the excitement and expectation that comes from every ball bowled and shot played that will never allow that obsession to wane.

The Ashes: 1st Test Day One … Some reflections

Well that is day one of a potential 50 days of test cricket between England and Australia done and dusted. I am not going to review every day of play: I have a job that requires me to be awake so generally I will only be watching the first two sessions of play each day. That said: here are some reflections on day one.

Siddle, Siddle, Siddle

I advocated for him missing out yesterday, as I have done since the Indian tour, and was proven wrong. As I tweeted at the time: when I am wrong I will admit it and I have. Another “Michelle” on the big stage for the Victorian was a superb effort.

England’s batting

Have watched the dismissals of the English top 8 on a loop this morning. Can anyone argue that anyone other J Root and, possibly, Bairstow got a good ball? Trott and Prior gifted their wickets whilst Cooke, KP and Bell wafted at balls they could have left. It was far from a disciplined performance from a team expected to dominate. Maybe that was the problem: expectation?

Oh Eddie!

I want Ed Cowan in the team: it is that simple. He has to let the ball he got first up go. It is that simple and enough said.

Nervous Patto? We were too!

Well this series has had it’s Harmison moment. Poor James Pattinson obviously was absolutely bricking it when he bowled the first over and it showed! First ball nearly hit him on his big toe on its way to a first ball wide. In all it was a bit of a nervous first hour from the baggy greens. They will learn from that though, indeed they must get it right from ball one in the second innings by the looks.

That is day one: day two dawns with the Poms on top and a young bloke calls Steve Smith, in the midst of a second coming, looking to resist and get Australia in front. Bring on 8pm!!!

The Ashes: Australian Team named

Australia has announced its XI for tonight’s first test against England at Trent Bridge. It is:

Watson
Rogers
Cowan
Clarke (c)
Hughes
Smith
Haddin
Siddle
Pattinson
Starc
Agar
Lyon (12th)

Not sure about Hughes at 5 or Siddle being in the team. Love that Cowan is in the line up. The time for talk and conjecture is over: we now know the team to take the field and it is time to get behind them.

Selection of Agar astonished me. I can not work it out and am gutted for Nathan Lyon.

Can’t wait for the first ball to bowled at 8pm Australian time tonight.

The Ashes: my Australian XII

After much debate, at home, in the office, on this blog and on twitter I am finally prepared to nail my colours to the mast and name my Australia XII for the first test. I am naming twelve players here because I have no clue about how the Trent Bridge wicket is going to look when M Clarke goes out for the toss of the coin.

In batting order:

Watson

Rogers

Cowan

Clarke

Khawaja

Smith

Haddin

Starc

Pattinson

Harris

Lyon

Faulkner (12th man)

I have written earlier about why I think Cowan should be selected (https://shumpty77.com/2013/07/04/the-ashes-we-know-who-the-openers-are-but-who-bats-number-3-for-australia/ ), why I think Nathan Lyon is a must for the team (https://shumpty77.com/2013/06/13/the-nathan-lyon-conundrum-the-second-inning-fallacy/ ) and why I think Peter Siddle must not be in the side (see my twitter feed). Smith has proved himself both in India and on tour to date and has earned his spot. Haddin replaces Wade: this should have occurred as soon he was available and Australia needs his experience in the team.

Faulkner is a player of the future and if there is a green top then I would like to have his ability with the willow in at number 8 and in that scenario Lyon will miss out.

 

I wait with bated breathe for the naming of the team. Only one sleep to go!